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WORLD › WORLD CUP
14.07.2026 19:00
Dallas Stadium
Referee: Iván Barton, El Salvador
France
Match Timeline
Spain
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Adrien Rabiot
France
⚽
22'
M. Oyarzabal
Spain
🔄
30'
W. Saliba ↔ M. Lacroix
France
🟨
31'
Marc Cucurella
Spain
🔄
46'
A. Rabiot ↔ M. Kone
France
🔄
57'
B. Barcola ↔ D. Doue
France
⚽
58'
P. Porro · Assist: D. Olmo
Spain
🔄
72'
M. Olise ↔ R. Cherki
France
🔄
72'
L. Digne ↔ T. Hernandez
France
🔄
74'
M. Oyarzabal ↔ F. Torres
Spain
🔄
78'
D. Olmo ↔ M. Merino
Spain
🔄
78'
F. Ruiz ↔ Pedri
Spain
🔄
84'
A. Baena ↔ N. Williams
Spain
🔄
84'
P. Porro ↔ M. Llorente
Spain
🟨
86'
Kylian Mbappé
France

France vs Spain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
France Win 43.1%
Draw 13.3%
Spain Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
France1.62
Spain1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
France France
WWDLW
25 GF / 7 GA
Spain Spain
WLDWL
18 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.8
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.3
6
BTTS Yes
3
8
Over 2.5
5
6.6
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

France France 10 matches
Spain Spain 10 matches
France Statistic Spain
9 Wins 7
0 Draws 3
1 Losses 0
25 Goals For 18
7 Goals Against 3
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.3
6 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 6
8 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 7
0 Failed To Score 2
6.6 Shots On Goal 5.8
17.3 Total Shots 16.2
6.1 Corners 6.5
59.3% Ball Possession 59.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, France won 1 times, Spain won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:14 from France's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: France 4-2-3-1 / Spain 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: France wins 1, draws 0, Spain wins 5

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
L L W W W
2 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
L W W L W
3 3 1 0 2 8:6 2 3
L W L L
4 3 0 0 3 1:12 -11 0
L L L
Round of 32