WORLD WORLD CUP
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Gillette Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
France Win 56%
Draw 8.4%
Morocco Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
France1.82
Morocco1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
France France
WWDLW
23 GF / 7 GA
Morocco Morocco
WLDWL
23 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.56
Average Goals Scored
2.3
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
6
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
5
6.44
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

France France 9 matches
Morocco Morocco 10 matches
France Statistic Morocco
8 Wins 6
0 Draws 4
1 Losses 0
23 Goals For 23
7 Goals Against 7
2.56 Avg Goals Scored 2.3
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 0
6.44 Shots On Goal 4.6
16.78 Total Shots 11.5
6.22 Corners 4.3
60.6% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, France won 1 times, Morocco won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from France's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: France 4-2-3-1 / Morocco 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: France wins 1, draws 0, Morocco wins 0
Last matches: France
04.07.26
Wor
France
Paraguay
1
0
W
30.06.26
Wor
France
Sweden
3
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
France
Norway
4
1
W
22.06.26
Wor
France
Iraq
3
0
W
16.06.26
Wor
France
Senegal
3
1
W
08.06.26
Fri
France
Northern Ireland
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
France
Ivory Coast
1
2
L
29.03.26
Fri
France
Colombia
3
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
France
Brazil
2
1
W
16.11.25
Wor
France
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
13.11.25
Wor
France
Ukraine
4
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
France
Iceland
2
2
D
10.10.25
Wor
France
Azerbaijan
3
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
France
Iceland
2
1
W
05.09.25
Wor
France
Ukraine
2
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
France
Germany
2
0
W
05.06.25
UEF
France
Spain
4
5
L
23.03.25
UEF
France
Croatia
2
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
France
Croatia
0
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
France
Italy
3
1
W
Last matches: Morocco
04.07.26
Wor
Morocco
Canada
3
0
W
30.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Netherlands
1
1
D
24.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Haiti
4
2
W
19.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Scotland
1
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Brazil
1
1
D
07.06.26
Fri
Morocco
Norway
1
1
D
02.06.26
Fri
Morocco
Madagascar
4
0
W
26.05.26
Fri
Morocco
Burundi
5
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Morocco
Paraguay
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Morocco
Ecuador
1
1
D
H2H: France vs Morocco
14.12.22
H2H
France
Morocco
2
0
W
Last matches: France
30.06.26
Wor
France
Sweden
3
0
W
22.06.26
Wor
France
Iraq
3
0
W
16.06.26
Wor
France
Senegal
3
1
W
08.06.26
Fri
France
Northern Ireland
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
France
Ivory Coast
1
2
L
13.11.25
Wor
France
Ukraine
4
0
W
10.10.25
Wor
France
Azerbaijan
3
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
France
Iceland
2
1
W
23.03.25
UEF
France
Croatia
2
0
W
14.11.24
UEF
France
Israel
0
0
D
09.09.24
UEF
France
Belgium
2
0
W
06.09.24
UEF
France
Italy
1
3
L
H2H at home: France
14.12.22
H2H
France
Morocco
2
0
W
Last matches: Morocco
04.07.26
Wor
Morocco
Canada
3
0
W
30.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Netherlands
1
1
D
19.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Scotland
1
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Brazil
1
1
D
H2H away: Morocco
14.12.22
H2H
France
Morocco
2
0
L

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
W W W W W
2 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
W W L W W
3 3 1 0 2 8:6 2 3
L W L L
4 3 0 0 3 1:12 -11 0
L L L
Round of 32