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05.10.2026 18:45
Stade de France
Referee: Nick Walsh
France
Match Timeline
Belgium
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
35'
D. Lukebakio · Assist: R. Lavia
Belgium
🟨
57'
Roméo Lavia
Belgium
🔄
60'
O. Dembele ↔ M. Olise
France
🔄
60'
M. Akliouche ↔ R. Cherki
France
🔄
61'
M. Kone ↔ L. Da Cunha
France
🟨
69'
Maxence Lacroix
France
🔄
70'
R. Lukaku ↔ C. De Ketelaere
Belgium
🔄
70'
D. Lukebakio ↔ M. Godts
Belgium
🔄
72'
B. Barcola ↔ D. Doue
France
🟨
75'
Joaquin Seys
Belgium
⚽
77'
D. Doue · Assist: L. Da Cunha
France
⚽
81'
R. Cherki · Assist: M. Olise
France
🔄
87'
R. Lavia ↔ M. Keita
Belgium
🔄
87'
H. Vanaken ↔ L. Trossard
Belgium
🔄
87'
D. Moreira ↔ L. Openda
Belgium
🔄
88'
E. Camavinga ↔ A. Rabiot
France
⚽
88'
M. Olise · Assist: D. Doue
France
⚽
90'
M. Olise · Assist: D. Doue
France

France vs Belgium Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
France Win 38.8%
Draw 7.9%
Belgium Win 53.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
France1.62
Belgium1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
France France
D W W L L
7 GF / 9 GA
Belgium Belgium
W L W L W
10 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
2.46
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
8
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
7
6.47
Shots on Goal
6.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

France France 15 matches
Belgium Belgium 13 matches
France Statistic Belgium
11 Wins 8
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
32 Goals For 32
16 Goals Against 11
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 2.46
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
6.47 Shots On Goal 6.31
16.67 Total Shots 17
5.73 Corners 4.69
58.8% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, France won 5 times, Belgium won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:3 from France's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: France 4-3-3 / Belgium 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: France wins 5, draws 0, Belgium wins 0

Standings

League A - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
W D W W
2 4 2 1 1 8:5 3 7
W D W L
3 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
L W L W
4 4 0 0 4 2:11 -9 0
L L L L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off