KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
80.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortune Sacco Win 88.8%
Draw 0%
Mwatate United Win 11.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortune Sacco1.68
Mwatate United0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco
WWDLW
49 GF / 27 GA
Mwatate United Mwatate United
WLDWL
26 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
0.87
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
14
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco 29 matches
Mwatate United Mwatate United 30 matches
Fortune Sacco Statistic Mwatate United
14 Wins 6
8 Draws 6
7 Losses 18
49 Goals For 26
27 Goals Against 50
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
14 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Fortune Sacco's more proactive style and Mwatate United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mwatate United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Mwatate United. Fortune Sacco arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 50 points compared to Mwatate United in 18 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mwatate United having the stronger overall control.

Fortune Sacco Analysis

Fortune Sacco sit 6 with 50 points after 29 league matches. The record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 49:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Mwatate United Analysis

With 24 points from 30 games and a place of 18, Mwatate United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 18 defeats with a 26:50 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Fortune Sacco won 4 times, Mwatate United won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Fortune Sacco's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Fortune Sacco wins 4, draws 0, Mwatate United wins 1