KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortune Sacco Win 54.5%
Draw 0%
Migori Youth Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortune Sacco1.29
Migori Youth1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco
WWDLW
52 GF / 30 GA
Migori Youth Migori Youth
WLDWL
50 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
16
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco 32 matches
Migori Youth Migori Youth 32 matches
Fortune Sacco Statistic Migori Youth
15 Wins 21
9 Draws 5
8 Losses 6
52 Goals For 50
30 Goals Against 25
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
16 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 8
13 Clean Sheets 15
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Migori Youth look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Migori Youth. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Migori Youth having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Fortune Sacco Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Fortune Sacco have collected 54 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 52:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Migori Youth Analysis

Migori Youth approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 68 points after 32 outings. The return of 21 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 50:25, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Fortune Sacco won 3 times, Migori Youth won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Fortune Sacco's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Fortune Sacco wins 3, draws 1, Migori Youth wins 2
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
01.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
1
3
L
27.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
L
22.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
4
L
10.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
3
3
D
22.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
9
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
2
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
18.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
0
W
10.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
1
2
L
Last matches: Migori Youth
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
17.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
4
2
W
11.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
H2H: Fortune Sacco vs Migori Youth
17.05.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
W
04.12.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
1
0
L
14.05.25
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
2
0
W
12.01.25
H2H
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
20.05.23
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
0
0
D
04.02.23
H2H
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
13.07.22
H2H
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
2
0
L
22.01.22
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
3
1
W
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
27.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
L
02.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
15.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
17.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
1
W
07.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
0
W
22.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
29.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MCF
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Fortune Sacco
17.05.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
W
14.05.25
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
2
0
W
20.05.23
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
0
0
D
22.01.22
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
3
1
W
Last matches: Migori Youth
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
17.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
4
2
W
22.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
17.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
3
L
30.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
2
0
W
02.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
2
3
L
25.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
1
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
1
0
W
H2H away: Migori Youth
17.05.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
L
14.05.25
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
2
0
L
20.05.23
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
0
0
D
22.01.22
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
3
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5 36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D