KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortune Sacco Win 51.8%
Draw 0%
Equity Bank Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortune Sacco1.29
Equity Bank1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco
WWDLW
56 GF / 34 GA
Equity Bank Equity Bank
WLDWL
48 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
17
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco 34 matches
Equity Bank Equity Bank 34 matches
Fortune Sacco Statistic Equity Bank
16 Wins 18
9 Draws 11
9 Losses 5
56 Goals For 48
34 Goals Against 26
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
17 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 8
14 Clean Sheets 16
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Equity Bank having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Equity Bank.

Fortune Sacco Analysis

So far, Fortune Sacco have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 57 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 16 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 56:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Equity Bank Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 65 points from 34 games, Equity Bank bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 11 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 48:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fortune Sacco won 1 times, Equity Bank won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Fortune Sacco's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Fortune Sacco wins 1, draws 0, Equity Bank wins 1
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
13.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MCF
3
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
1
3
L
22.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
4
L
17.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
3
3
D
22.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
9
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
2
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
Last matches: Equity Bank
13.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
H2H: Fortune Sacco vs Equity Bank
27.05.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
L
25.10.25
H2H
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
0
1
W
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
07.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
15.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
17.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
1
W
07.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
0
W
22.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
29.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MCF
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Fortune Sacco
27.05.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
L
Last matches: Equity Bank
07.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
1
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
11.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
1
1
D
07.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
2
L
12.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
03.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
22.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
09.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
28.10.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
2
D
28.09.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
H2H away: Equity Bank
27.05.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation