Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Sittard Win 0%
Draw 0%
Excelsior Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Sittard1.54
Excelsior2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Sittard
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
Excelsior
WLDWL
23 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
3.29
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
6
6.5
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortuna Sittard
7 matches
Excelsior
7 matches
| Fortuna Sittard | Statistic | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 12 | Goals For | 23 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.29 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 6.5 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 12.5 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 30% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 4 times, Excelsior won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Fortuna Sittard's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Fortuna Sittard 3-4-2-1 / Excelsior 4-3-3
H2H summary: Fortuna Sittard wins 4, draws 2, Excelsior wins 2
Last matches: Fortuna Sittard
15.08.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Cambuur
3
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
31.07.26
Fri
Fortuna Sittard
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fortuna Sittard
Metz
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Fortuna Sittard
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fortuna Sittard
Genk
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Fortuna Sittard
K. Lierse S.K.
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
PEC Zwolle
3
2
W
03.05.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Twente
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
FC Volendam
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar
1
4
L
28.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
W
20.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
2
1
W
14.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1
4
L
07.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
2
2
D
Last matches: Excelsior
15.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
H2H: Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior
20.02.26
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
2
1
W
19.10.25
H2H
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
0
L
03.03.24
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
5
2
W
26.08.23
H2H
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
2
2
D
21.05.23
H2H
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
3
0
L
17.09.22
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
1
0
W
10.02.19
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
4
1
W
11.08.18
H2H
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
1
D
Last matches: Fortuna Sittard
15.08.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Cambuur
3
1
W
31.07.26
Fri
Fortuna Sittard
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Fortuna Sittard
Genk
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Fortuna Sittard
K. Lierse S.K.
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
PEC Zwolle
3
2
W
03.05.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Twente
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar
1
4
L
20.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
2
1
W
07.02.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
21.12.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
06.12.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1
3
L
29.11.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles
1
1
D
08.11.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
2
0
W
25.10.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen
1
2
L
04.10.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
FC Volendam
1
0
W
20.09.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht
1
0
W
31.08.25
Ere
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
W
H2H at home: Fortuna Sittard
20.02.26
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
2
1
W
03.03.24
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
5
2
W
17.09.22
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
1
0
W
10.02.19
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
4
1
W
Last matches: Excelsior
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
24.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
0
0
D
21.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
L
22.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
1
W
01.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
26.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
2
L
04.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
2
1
W
H2H away: Excelsior
20.02.26
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
2
1
L
03.03.24
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
5
2
L
17.09.22
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
1
0
L
10.02.19
H2H
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
4
1
L
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Fortuna Sittard
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Excelsior
Away
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie