GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
24.04.2026 16:30
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Referee: T. Bauer
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Match Timeline
Dynamo Dresden
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
C. Itten · Assist: F. Kastenmeier
Fortuna Düsseldorf
17'
E. Iyoha · Assist: S. Appelkamp
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
45+1'
C. Lenz ↔ L. Raimund
Fortuna Düsseldorf
58'
L. Raimund · Assist: C. Itten
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
63'
K. Amoako ↔ L. Herrmann
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
63'
J. Ceka ↔ J. Lemmer
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
64'
M. Zimmermann ↔ J. Daland
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
73'
E. Iyoha ↔ J. Hettwer
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
73'
N. Hauptmann ↔ S. Kutschke
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
73'
A. Rossipal ↔ K. Faber
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
78'
V. Vermeij ↔ C. Daferner
Dynamo Dresden
90'
J. Lemmer · Assist: B. Bobzien
Dynamo Dresden

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win 27.7%
Draw 19%
Dynamo Dresden Win 53.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Düsseldorf1.17
Dynamo Dresden1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
WWDLW
27 GF / 47 GA
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
WLDWL
49 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
16
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
21
4.03
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 30 matches
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 30 matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf Statistic Dynamo Dresden
9 Wins 9
4 Draws 8
17 Losses 13
27 Goals For 49
47 Goals Against 47
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
16 BTTS Yes 21
21 Over 1.5 27
16 Over 2.5 21
3 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 5
4.03 Shots On Goal 4.33
13.07 Total Shots 12.8
4.73 Corners 4.87
49% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dynamo Dresden. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortuna Düsseldorf expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Dynamo Dresden in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dynamo Dresden having the stronger overall control. Fortuna Düsseldorf have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis

With 31 points from 30 games and a place of 17, Fortuna Düsseldorf still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 27:45, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through C. Itten (12 goals), F. Muslija (4 goals), Christian Rasmussen (2 goals), with creative support from F. Muslija (4 assists), Christian Rasmussen (4 assists), C. Itten (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dynamo Dresden Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Dynamo Dresden have collected 35 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 47:47 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by V. Vermeij (8 goals), C. Daferner (7 goals), J. Lemmer (5 goals), with creative support from N. Hauptmann (5 assists), A. Rossipal (4 assists), B. Bobzien (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 3 times, Dynamo Dresden won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Fortuna Düsseldorf's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1-4-2 / Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortuna Düsseldorf wins 3, draws 4, Dynamo Dresden wins 6

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga