BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.4%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza EC Win 60.4%
Draw 7.4%
Operario-PR Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza EC1.19
Operario-PR1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WWDLW
27 GF / 21 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WLDWL
30 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
9
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
15
4.17
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 24 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 24 matches
Fortaleza EC Statistic Operario-PR
11 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
6 Losses 8
27 Goals For 30
21 Goals Against 31
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
9 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 6
4.17 Shots On Goal 4.38
13.79 Total Shots 14.42
5.46 Corners 5.29
46% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Operario-PR's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Operario-PR in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Operario-PR having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Operario-PR. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Operario-PR arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Placed 4 with 40 points from 24 outings, Fortaleza EC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 27:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vitinho (4 goals), Juan Miritello (3 goals), Maílton (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Operario-PR Analysis

With 36 points from 24 games and a place of 7, Operario-PR still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats with a 30:31 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Gabriel Boschilia (9 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Vinicius Diniz (3 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 0 times, Operario-PR won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza EC 4-3-3 / Operario-PR 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortaleza EC wins 0, draws 1, Operario-PR wins 0
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
23.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
2
0
W
19.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
1
1
D
29.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
Last matches: Operario-PR
23.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
0
0
D
19.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
3
L
27.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
3
L
22.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
3
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
2
2
D
12.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
2
1
W
07.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Goias
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
05.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
2
6
L
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
H2H: Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR
26.04.26
H2H
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
19.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
1
D
29.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
Last matches: Operario-PR
19.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
3
L
18.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
2
2
D
07.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Goias
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
2
1
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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