Fortaleza EC vs Ceara Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.3%
|
1.81 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
2.33 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.12 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortaleza EC
27 matches
Ceara
27 matches
| Fortaleza EC | Statistic | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 12 |
| 30 | Goals For | 28 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.19 | Shots On Goal | 4.19 |
| 14.15 | Total Shots | 13.74 |
| 5.48 | Corners | 5.81 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Fortaleza EC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 44 points compared to Ceara in 16 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ceara. Ceara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ceara in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ceara having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Fortaleza EC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 44 points after 26 matches. The record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 29:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vitinho (5 goals), Maílton (3 goals), J. Miritello (3 goals), with creative support from Mauricio Junior (2 assists), Maílton (1 assists), João Ricardo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Ceara sit 16 with 31 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 27:33 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Melk (4 goals), Lucas Lima (3 goals), Júlio (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Juan Alano (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 0 times, Ceara won 6 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 |
Fortaleza EC
Home
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 |
Ceara
Away
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | -46 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|