BRAZIL SERIE B
09.09.2026 22:30
Referee: Y. Ferreira
Fortaleza EC
Match Timeline
Avai
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
Gabriel Cipriano
Avai
🔄
45'
ronald falkoski ↔ Ryan Gustavo de Lima
Fortaleza EC
🔄
45'
Lucas Crispim ↔ Luiz Fernando
Fortaleza EC
🔄
62'
Jean Lucas Figueiredo ↔ Luiz Henrique
Avai
🔄
62'
Juan Miritello ↔ Paulo Baya
Fortaleza EC
🔄
65'
Lucas Sasha ↔ Rodrigo Oliveira dos Santos
Fortaleza EC
66'
Maílton
Fortaleza EC
🔄
75'
Zé Ricardo ↔ Kauã Gabriel Pereira Dos Santos
Avai
🔄
75'
Wenderson ↔ Leo Chu
Avai
🔄
81'
Gabriel Cipriano ↔ Isaias Pereira Da Silva
Avai
🟨
83'
João Vitor
Avai
🔄
86'
Pedro Henrique ↔ Neris
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC vs Avai Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.58
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 2.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
1.58
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.25
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
2.39
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza EC Win 62.9%
Draw 7.1%
Avai Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza EC1.2
Avai0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WWDLW
29 GF / 22 GA
Avai Avai
WLDWL
28 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.08
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
12
4.23
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 26 matches
Avai Avai 26 matches
Fortaleza EC Statistic Avai
12 Wins 8
8 Draws 5
6 Losses 13
29 Goals For 28
22 Goals Against 34
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
10 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 8
4.23 Shots On Goal 3.38
14.31 Total Shots 11.27
5.54 Corners 3.77
46.7% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Avai. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Avai in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avai having the stronger overall control. Fortaleza EC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 41 points compared to Avai in 16 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 41 points from 25 matches. The record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 28:22 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vitinho (4 goals), Maílton (3 goals), Juan Miritello (3 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), João Ricardo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Avai Analysis

Avai sit 16 with 29 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 27:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Jean Lucas (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (3 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 4 times, Avai won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza EC 4-3-3 / Avai 3-4-3
H2H summary: Fortaleza EC wins 4, draws 2, Avai wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
3 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
4 28 13 9 6 31:23 8 48
D W W D W
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W W L
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
11 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
12 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
13 28 11 6 11 28:34 -6 39
W L L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17
Avai Away
28 8 6 14 29:36 -7 30
D L L L W
18 28 7 7 14 38:39 -1 28
W W L D L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 28 2 4 22 16:62 -46 10
L L L L L
Promotion
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