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07.08.2026 23:00
Tim Hortons Field
Referee: R. Villanueva
Forge
Match Timeline
Vancouver FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
N. Ampomah
Forge
⚽
44'
D. Pecile · Assist: E. Bah
Vancouver FC
🔄
46'
L. Johnson ↔ H. Massunda
Forge
🟨
48'
B. Paton
Forge
🔄
62'
K. Bekker ↔ D. Krutzen
Forge
🔄
63'
N. Ampomah ↔ I. Oketokoun
Forge
🔄
63'
L. Mousset ↔ T. Campbell
Vancouver FC
🔄
67'
T. Borges ↔ N. Jensen
Forge
🟨
68'
B. Smyrniotis
Forge
🟨
68'
R. Rama
Forge
🔄
79'
R. Rama ↔ M. Bourgeois
Forge
🟨
86'
N. Mezquida
Vancouver FC
🔄
86'
M. Amissi ↔ P. Gee
Vancouver FC
🟨
87'
M. Bourgeois
Forge
🟨
90+6'
A. Batisse
Forge
🔄
90+4'
N. Mezquida ↔ A. Ouattara
Vancouver FC

Forge vs Vancouver FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 60.5%
Draw 4%
Vancouver FC Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1.46
Vancouver FC1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
D W W W W
9 GF / 4 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
W W W W L
15 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.41
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
7
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 16 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 17 matches
Forge Statistic Vancouver FC
11 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 8
24 Goals For 24
12 Goals Against 24
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
7 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 7
4 Shots On Goal 4.47
12.75 Total Shots 12.24
4.5 Corners 5.29
41.8% Ball Possession 39.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Forge expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Vancouver FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control. Forge arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Vancouver FC in 4 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vancouver FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Forge Analysis

Forge come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 34 points after 13 matches. With 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:8, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 20 points from 14 games, Vancouver FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:15, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 9 times, Vancouver FC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from Forge's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Forge 3-4-2-1 / Vancouver FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Forge wins 9, draws 3, Vancouver FC wins 3

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 58:23 35 60
W W D L L
2
Forge Home
28 17 7 4 49:22 27 58
D W W W D
3 28 13 4 11 42:45 -3 43
L L W W W
4 28 11 5 12 47:50 -3 38
W W D W W
5 28 10 7 11 39:37 2 37
L W D D D
6 28 7 9 12 42:65 -23 30
W L L L W
7 28 7 7 14 44:50 -6 28
L L D D L
8 28 2 9 17 33:62 -29 15
D L L L L