CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tim Hortons Field
Referee: F. Stasolla
Forge
Match Timeline
Vancouver FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
T. Campbell · Assist: E. Bah
Vancouver FC
VAR
36'
Rezart Rama
Forge
45'
E. Bah
Vancouver FC
🔄
46'
M. Babouli ↔ D. Krutzen
Forge
🔄
58'
M. Filion ↔ B. Wright
Forge
🔄
59'
N. Ampomah ↔ I. Oketokoun
Forge
61'
T. Borges · Assist: B. Wright
Forge
64'
D. Krutzen · Assist: A. Batisse
Forge
🔄
65'
T. Campbell ↔ L. Mousset
Vancouver FC
🔄
71'
T. Borges ↔ M. Bourgeois
Forge
🔄
71'
K. Bekker ↔ N. Jensen
Forge
🔄
73'
M. Amissi ↔ N. Mezquida
Vancouver FC
🔄
73'
T. Crawford ↔ A. Ouattara
Vancouver FC
75'
A. Batisse
Forge
🔄
80'
D. Pecile ↔ L. Toomey
Vancouver FC
🔄
80'
E. Fotsing ↔ T. Powell
Vancouver FC
🟨
90+7'
Rezart Rama
Forge
VAR
90+8'
Rezart Rama
Forge
🟨
90'
Lys Mousset
Vancouver FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 73.3%
Draw 8.2%
Vancouver FC Win 18.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1.43
Vancouver FC0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
WWDLW
16 GF / 8 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WLDWL
9 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
1.75
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 12 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 12 matches
Forge Statistic Vancouver FC
8 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 7
16 Goals For 9
8 Goals Against 19
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 7
1.75 Shots On Goal 1.5
5.83 Total Shots 5.67
2.5 Corners 2.17
18.7% Ball Possession 19.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and Vancouver FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Forge arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 25 points compared to Vancouver FC in 6 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vancouver FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Forge come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Forge Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 25 points from 10 games, Forge bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:4, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Wright (4 goals), A. Batisse (2 goals), B. Paton (2 goals), with creative support from B. Paton (2 assists), H. Massunda (1 assists), Daniel Nimick (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Vancouver FC Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Vancouver FC have collected 11 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 9:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Amissi (3 goals), T. Campbell (3 goals), K. Proctor (1 goals), with creative support from M. Doner (2 assists), K. Proctor (1 assists), D. Pecile (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 9 times, Vancouver FC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from Forge's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Forge 4-3-3 / Vancouver FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Forge wins 9, draws 3, Vancouver FC wins 3
Stats
Forge Forge
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
7 Corner Kicks 1
13 Fouls 5
3 Offsides 0
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 0
6 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
520 Total passes 382
456 Passes accurate 329
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Forge
Formation
Vancouver FC
D. Bertaud
D. Bertaud
R. Rama
R. Rama
D. Nimick
D. Nimick
A. Batisse
🎯
A. Batisse
B. Paton
B. Paton
T. Borges
T. Borges
K. Bekker
K. Bekker
M. Babouli
M. Babouli
N. Ampomah
N. Ampomah
M. Filion
M. Filion
H. Massunda
H. Massunda
C. Irving
C. Irving
P. Gee
P. Gee
M. Campagna
M. Campagna
K. Proctor
K. Proctor
M. Doner
M. Doner
E. Fotsing
E. Fotsing
D. Pecile
D. Pecile
T. Crawford
T. Crawford
E. Bah
🎯
E. Bah
T. Campbell
T. Campbell
M. Amissi
M. Amissi
Forge 4-3-3
Starting XI
16
D. Bertaud
G
24
R. Rama
🟨 90+7'
D
5
D. Nimick
D
8
A. Batisse
⚽ 75' 🎯 64'
D
6
B. Paton
D
19
T. Borges
⚽ 61' ↓ 71'
M
10
K. Bekker
↓ 71'
M
18
M. Babouli
↓ 46'
M
11
N. Ampomah
↓ 59'
F
12
M. Filion
↓ 58'
17
H. Massunda
Substitutes
36
D. Bontis
9
B. Wright
🎯 61' ↑ 58'
F
87
M. Bourgeois
↑ 71'
M
26
A. Sadek
M
4
D. Krutzen
⚽ 64' ↑ 46'
D
22
N. Jensen
↑ 71'
M
7
I. Oketokoun
↑ 59'
F
Vancouver FC 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
C. Irving
G
2
P. Gee
D
5
M. Campagna
D
23
K. Proctor
D
3
M. Doner
M
17
E. Fotsing
↓ 80'
6
D. Pecile
↓ 80'
M
12
T. Crawford
↓ 73'
M
7
E. Bah
⚽ 45' 🎯 7'
14
T. Campbell
⚽ 7' ↓ 65'
F
10
M. Amissi
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
33
H. Regitnig
G
20
N. Mezquida
↑ 73'
M
8
L. Toomey
↑ 80'
9
L. Mousset
↑ 65' 🟨 90'
F
21
M. Polisi
M
18
T. Powell
↑ 80'
15
A. Ouattara
↑ 73'
Last matches: Forge
07.08.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
02.08.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
26.07.26
Can
Forge
York United
3
1
W
05.07.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
10.06.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
Last matches: Vancouver FC
07.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
1
0
W
01.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
25.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
17.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
5
1
W
04.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
05.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
H2H: Forge vs Vancouver FC
07.08.26
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
01.07.26
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
12.04.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
23.08.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
W
05.07.25
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
2
1
W
15.06.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
2
W
21.09.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Forge
1
3
W
18.08.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Forge
1
2
W
05.07.24
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
3
D
18.05.24
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
03.09.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
3
W
28.07.23
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
21.06.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
0
L
19.05.23
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Forge
07.08.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
10.06.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H at home: Forge
07.08.26
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
01.07.26
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
04.10.25
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
05.07.25
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
2
1
W
05.07.24
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
3
D
18.05.24
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
28.07.23
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
19.05.23
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Vancouver FC
07.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
1
0
W
17.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
5
1
W
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
H2H away: Vancouver FC
07.08.26
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
1
W
01.07.26
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
L
04.10.25
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
05.07.25
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
2
1
L
05.07.24
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
3
D
18.05.24
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
2
W
28.07.23
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
2
0
L
19.05.23
H2H
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
0
D

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Forge Home
15 11 2 2 23:9 14 35
L D W W W
2 15 10 3 2 30:8 22 33
W W L D W
3 16 8 2 6 25:16 9 26
W W W W W
4 16 7 3 6 25:29 -4 24
W L W D L
5 17 4 5 8 21:26 -5 17
L D L D W
6 14 5 2 7 21:26 -5 17
W L W L L
7 14 3 5 6 16:31 -15 14
D L L D L
8 15 0 4 11 17:33 -16 4
D L L L L