BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Fluminense PI
Match Timeline
America-RN
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
Arua
America-RN
77'
Carlos Coppetti
America-RN
85'
Cassiano
America-RN

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.2%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fluminense PI Win 32.3%
Draw 8.6%
America-RN Win 59.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense PI0.86
America-RN1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fluminense PI Fluminense PI
WWDLW
12 GF / 9 GA
America-RN America-RN
WLDWL
15 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.36
6
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fluminense PI Fluminense PI 10 matches
America-RN America-RN 11 matches
Fluminense PI Statistic America-RN
3 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
12 Goals For 15
9 Goals Against 4
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.36
6 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward America-RN having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring America-RN. America-RN carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 21 points while Fluminense PI sit 3 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Fluminense PI Analysis

Fluminense PI come into this tie placed 3 in their league with 14 points from 10 matches. With 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 12:9, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Joao Vitor (6 goals), Junior Timbo (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

America-RN Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, America-RN arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 21 points after 10 matches. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 14:3 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Matheus Regis (3 goals), Alisson Taddei (2 goals), with creative support from Alisson Taddei (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense PI won 0 times, America-RN won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Fluminense PI's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
H2H summary: Fluminense PI wins 0, draws 0, America-RN wins 2
Last matches: Fluminense PI
27.06.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
America-RN
0
1
L
13.06.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Ferroviario
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Altos
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Piauí
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Tirol/CEFAT
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Tirol/CEFAT
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Piauí
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Altos
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Ferroviario
1
1
D
Last matches: America-RN
13.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
H2H: Fluminense PI vs America-RN
27.06.26
H2H
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
L
20.06.26
H2H
Fluminense PI
America-RN
0
3
L
Last matches: Fluminense PI
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Altos
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Tirol/CEFAT
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Piauí
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Ferroviario
1
1
D
H2H at home: Fluminense PI
20.06.26
H2H
Fluminense PI
America-RN
0
3
L
Last matches: America-RN
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Treze
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
11.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
0
1
L
25.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Ferroviario
0
1
L
09.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
2
1
W
19.04.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
0
0
D
H2H away: America-RN
20.06.26
H2H
Fluminense PI
America-RN
0
3
W

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)