Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
89.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Floriana
37 matches
Marsaxlokk
33 matches
| Floriana | Statistic | Marsaxlokk |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 17 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 59 | Goals For | 44 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Floriana hold an advantage after winning the first leg 3-1, so Marsaxlokk now have a 2-goal deficit to overturn. Floriana come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Marsaxlokk. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Marsaxlokk having the stronger overall control.
Ahead of this knockout test, Floriana arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 37 points after 16 matches. With 11 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 28:12, they bring very strong form with results showing strong momentum into this tie. Going forward they rely on J. Grech (11 goals), M. Jah (8 goals), F. Varela (7 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Marsaxlokk come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 31 points from 16 matches. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 22:20, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Dodo (12 goals), A. Majok (6 goals), J. Minala (5 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Floriana won 11 times, Marsaxlokk won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:12 from Floriana's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Lineups
Floriana
Drita
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Gzira United
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Birkirkara
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hibernians
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Tarxien Rainbows
Floriana
Gzira United
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
Mosta
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Pyunik Yerevan
Marsaxlokk
Pyunik Yerevan
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Tarxien Rainbows
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Floriana
Drita
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Hibernians
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Tarxien Rainbows
Floriana
Mosta
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
Birkirkara
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Birkirkara
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Pyunik Yerevan
Marsaxlokk
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Tarxien Rainbows
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Floriana
Home
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Marsaxlokk
Away
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 18 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:18 | -8 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:21 | -13 | 5 |
L
W
W
D
D
|