MALTA PREMIER LEAGUE
25.04.2026 14:00
Referee: I. Barbara
Floriana
Match Timeline
Hamrun Spartans
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
B. Eleke
Hamrun Spartans
23'
Z. Scerri
Floriana
🟨
24'
B. Eleke
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
34'
V. Polito
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
44'
R. Areias
Floriana
🔄
45+1'
R. Areias ↔ E. Piscopo
Floriana
🔄
46'
P. Mbong ↔ M. Beerman
Floriana
🔄
51'
M. El Fanis ↔ Jonny
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
52'
R. Camenzuli ↔ Ederson
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
62'
Chico Teixeira ↔ G. Rodgers
Floriana
🔄
62'
D. Vella ↔ J. Grech
Floriana
🔄
63'
B. Eleke ↔ K. Serber
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
69'
A. Kurtalic ↔ Z. Vella Newell
Floriana
🟨
71'
M. Beerman
Floriana
🟨
77'
K. Mabea
Floriana
78'
J. Mbong
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
80'
G. Rodgers
Floriana
86'
J. Mbong
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
87'
M. Guillaumier ↔ M. Carboni
Hamrun Spartans
90'
M. Carboni
Hamrun Spartans

Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Floriana Win 62%
Draw 5.1%
Hamrun Spartans Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Floriana1.41
Hamrun Spartans1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Floriana Floriana
WWDLW
57 GF / 31 GA
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
WLDWL
58 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1
19
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
1.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Floriana Floriana 34 matches
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 44 matches
Floriana Statistic Hamrun Spartans
22 Wins 20
8 Draws 9
4 Losses 15
57 Goals For 58
31 Goals Against 44
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1
19 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 32
17 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 20
5 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 1.75
0 Total Shots 5.33
0 Corners 2.25
0% Ball Possession 23.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hamrun Spartans having the stronger overall control. Floriana come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Floriana arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Hamrun Spartans in 2 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hamrun Spartans. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Floriana Analysis

Floriana approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 34 points after 14 outings. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 21:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Grech (11 goals), F. Varela (7 goals), M. Jah (7 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Hamrun Spartans Analysis

With 25 points from 14 games and a place of 2, Hamrun Spartans still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 18:7 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Mbong (12 goals), D. Ceter (5 goals), M. Garcia (4 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Floriana won 0 times, Hamrun Spartans won 9 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:23 from Floriana's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Floriana - / Hamrun Spartans 4-3-3
H2H summary: Floriana wins 0, draws 6, Hamrun Spartans wins 9

Standings

Premier League , Closing Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 4 0 20:7 13 25
W W W L W
2 11 6 4 1 16:4 12 22
W L L W W
3 11 5 4 2 12:12 0 19
L W W W W
4 11 5 3 3 20:18 2 18
L L D L D
5 11 4 5 2 16:7 9 17
L L W L L
6 11 5 2 4 14:12 2 17
L D L W L
7 11 4 4 3 10:11 -1 16
L D D W D
8 11 3 4 4 12:12 0 13
D D D L W
9 11 3 2 6 11:17 -6 11
L W D L D
10 11 2 4 5 13:15 -2 10
W L W D D
11 11 1 3 7 9:21 -12 6
L W W D D
12 11 1 1 9 7:24 -17 4
W D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round