Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
66.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- |
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Floriana
34 matches
Hamrun Spartans
44 matches
| Floriana | Statistic | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 20 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 4 | Losses | 15 |
| 57 | Goals For | 58 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 20 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 1.75 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 5.33 |
| 0 | Corners | 2.25 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 23.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hamrun Spartans having the stronger overall control. Floriana come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Floriana arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Hamrun Spartans in 2 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hamrun Spartans. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Floriana approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 34 points after 14 outings. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 21:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Grech (11 goals), F. Varela (7 goals), M. Jah (7 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 25 points from 14 games and a place of 2, Hamrun Spartans still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 18:7 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Mbong (12 goals), D. Ceter (5 goals), M. Garcia (4 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Floriana won 0 times, Hamrun Spartans won 9 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:23 from Floriana's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Lineups
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Gzira United
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Birkirkara
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hibernians
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Tarxien Rainbows
Floriana
Gzira United
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
Mosta
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Hibernians
Hamrun Spartans
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Tarxien Rainbows
Hamrun Spartans
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Birkirkara
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Hibernians
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Tarxien Rainbows
Floriana
Mosta
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
Birkirkara
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Birkirkara
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
Valletta FC
Floriana
Gzira United
Floriana
Ballkani
Floriana
Haverfordwest County AFC
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
Hibernians
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Shamrock Rovers
Hamrun Spartans
Samsunspor
Hamrun Spartans
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
Jagiellonia
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hamrun Spartans
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
Tarxien Rainbows
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Floriana
Home
|
16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 37 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 2 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Hamrun Spartans
Away
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:11 | 15 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 24 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
D
|