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11.10.2026 09:00
Victor Tedesco Stadium
Floriana
Live Timeline
Balzan FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
A. Dimeji
Balzan FC
🟨
11'
R. Muric
Floriana
🟨
25'
Macula
Balzan FC
🟨
26'
Chapi
Floriana
🔄
40'
A. Drina ↔ A. Kurtalic
Floriana
🔄
40'
K. Dervisagic ↔ S. Odey
Floriana
🔄
40'
R. Muric ↔ P. Mbong
Floriana
🟨
57'
A. Kurtalic
Floriana

Floriana vs Balzan FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.76
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.79
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.91
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.1%
1.76 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.79 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.91 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Floriana Win 77.1%
Draw 5.5%
Balzan FC Win 17.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Floriana1.62
Balzan FC1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Floriana Floriana
WWDLW
21 GF / 15 GA
Balzan FC Balzan FC
WLDWL
11 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.1
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
1.25
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Floriana Floriana 10 matches
Balzan FC Balzan FC 9 matches
Floriana Statistic Balzan FC
5 Wins 3
2 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
21 Goals For 11
15 Goals Against 8
2.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
6 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 2
1.25 Shots On Goal 0
4 Total Shots 0
1.5 Corners 0
22.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Balzan FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Balzan FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Floriana arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 13 points compared to Balzan FC in 8 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Floriana Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 13 points from 6 games, Floriana bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Balzan FC Analysis

Balzan FC are currently 8 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Floriana won 6 times, Balzan FC won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Floriana's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Floriana wins 6, draws 7, Balzan FC wins 2

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W D W L
2 7 4 2 1 13:10 3 14
W L W D W
3 6 4 1 1 16:7 9 13
W L W D W
4 6 3 2 1 9:7 2 11
D L D W W
5 7 3 1 3 9:6 3 10
L W D L L
6 6 3 1 2 9:6 3 10
W W W D L
7 6 3 1 2 7:7 0 10
D W W W L
8 6 2 3 1 9:6 3 9
D D W W L
9 7 1 2 4 6:11 -5 5
L L D L D
10 6 1 2 3 4:9 -5 5
L D L D L
11 5 0 1 4 2:13 -11 1
D L L L L
12 7 0 1 6 3:16 -13 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)