BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: E. Silva
Floresta
Match Timeline
Maringá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Jhony Douglas ↔ Danrley
Floresta
🔄
66'
Valdo ↔ Islan
Floresta
🔄
67'
Edison Negueba ↔ Giovane Gomez
Maringá
🔄
67'
Gabriel Souza ↔ Ronald Camarao
Maringá
68'
Rafinha
Floresta
🔄
73'
Caique ↔ Diego Matos
Floresta
🔄
73'
Rafinha ↔ Gustavinho
Floresta
🔄
77'
Matheus Martins ↔ Matheusinho
Floresta
🔄
80'
Paulinho ↔ Serginho
Maringá
🔄
80'
Caique Calito ↔ Rafinha
Maringá
🔄
87'
Bruno Cheron ↔ Iago Santana
Maringá
90'
Ronald Camarao
Maringá

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.9%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Floresta Win 39.8%
Draw 17.3%
Maringá Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Floresta1.33
Maringá1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Floresta Floresta
WWDLW
15 GF / 14 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
27 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Floresta Floresta 14 matches
Maringá Maringá 14 matches
Floresta Statistic Maringá
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
15 Goals For 27
14 Goals Against 24
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
9 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Maringá. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Floresta Analysis

Floresta sit 10 with 20 points after 14 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Maringá Analysis

Maringá are currently 7 in the standings with 22 points from 14 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 27:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Floresta won 0 times, Maringá won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Floresta's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
H2H summary: Floresta wins 0, draws 2, Maringá wins 0

Lineups

Floresta
Formation
Maringá
Dheimison
Dheimison
Afonso
Afonso
Joao Victor
Joao Victor
Jhony Douglas
Jhony Douglas
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins
Rafinha
Rafinha
Garraty
Garraty
Valdo
Valdo
Eliandro
Eliandro
Nonato
Nonato
Caique
Caique
Neto
Neto
Gabriel Souza
Gabriel Souza
Jhow Alecxander
Jhow Alecxander
Gabriel Santos
Gabriel Santos
Wendel Lomar
Wendel Lomar
Paulinho
Paulinho
Lucas Bonifacio
Lucas Bonifacio
Bruno Cheron
Bruno Cheron
Edison Negueba
Edison Negueba
Caique Calito
Caique Calito
Guilherme Pira
Guilherme Pira
Floresta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Dheimison
3
Afonso
4
Joao Victor
5
Jhony Douglas
↓ 46'
7
Matheus Martins
↓ 77'
11
Rafinha
⚽ 68' ↓ 73'
13
Garraty
14
Valdo
↓ 66'
15
Eliandro
17
Nonato
29
Caique
↓ 73'
Substitutes
1
Jeferson Souza
22
Tiepo
2
Cedric
8
Danrley
↑ 46'
6
Diego Matos
↑ 73'
10
Matheusinho
↑ 77'
9
Gustavinho
↑ 73'
23
Islan
↑ 66'
26
Thailor
27
Marco Antonio
28
Guilherme Borges
30
Eduardo
Maringá 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
Neto
2
Gabriel Souza
↓ 67'
18
Jhow Alecxander
3
Gabriel Santos
4
Wendel Lomar
23
Paulinho
↓ 80'
28
Lucas Bonifacio
20
Bruno Cheron
↓ 87'
7
Edison Negueba
↓ 67'
99
Caique Calito
↓ 80'
10
Guilherme Pira
Substitutes
5
Kelvi Gomes
6
Thiago Rosa
8
Adeilson
9
Giovane Gomez
↑ 67'
11
Danielzinho
12
Romario
17
Iago Santana
↑ 87'
21
Ronald Camarao
⚽ 90' ↑ 67'
26
Wallace
37
Serginho
↑ 80'
77
Rafinha
↑ 80'
Last matches: Floresta
22.08.26
Ser
Floresta
Volta Redonda
2
1
W
16.08.26
Ser
Floresta
Anápolis
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Floresta
Ypiranga-RS
1
4
L
11.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Caxias
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Guarani Campinas
0
0
D
27.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Barra
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Brusque
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Figueirense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Paysandu
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Amazonas
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Floresta
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Maranhão
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Ferroviária
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
Last matches: Maringá
23.08.26
Ser
Maringá
Barra
2
1
W
16.08.26
Ser
Maringá
Confiança
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Maringá
Amazonas
0
3
L
12.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Anápolis
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Volta Redonda
4
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Caxias
1
1
D
15.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
11.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
H2H: Floresta vs Maringá
27.07.26
H2H
Floresta
Maringá
1
1
D
03.08.25
H2H
Maringá
Floresta
1
1
D
Last matches: Floresta
16.08.26
Ser
Floresta
Anápolis
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Barra
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Figueirense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Amazonas
3
2
W
04.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Maranhão
1
2
L
20.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Ferroviária
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
H2H at home: Floresta
27.07.26
H2H
Floresta
Maringá
1
1
D
Last matches: Maringá
16.08.26
Ser
Maringá
Confiança
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Anápolis
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Caxias
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
H2H away: Maringá
27.07.26
H2H
Floresta
Maringá
1
1
D

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation