BRAZIL SERIE C
29.08.2026 20:00
Referee: M. Silva
Floresta
Match Timeline
Ituano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
Buga ↔ Danrley
Floresta
🟨
27'
Joao Victor
Floresta
🔄
31'
Alason Carioca ↔ Victor Reis
Ituano
31'
Rafinha
Floresta
🟨
41'
Richard
Ituano
🟨
45+1'
Matheus Lima
Floresta
🟨
45+3'
Floresta
Floresta
🔄
46'
Matheus Lima ↔ Matheus Martins
Floresta
🔄
66'
Leo Souza ↔ Thassio
Ituano
🔄
66'
Gabriel Razera ↔ Bruno Mezenga
Ituano
🔄
66'
Vini Oliveira ↔ Lucas Stefanello
Ituano
🟨
67'
Ituano
Ituano
🔄
75'
Eliandro ↔ Cedric
Floresta
🔄
75'
Garraty ↔ Thalisson
Floresta
🔄
75'
Nonato ↔ Guilherme Borges
Floresta
🔄
78'
Richard ↔ Lipe Gadol
Ituano
79'
Matheus Martins
Floresta

Floresta vs Ituano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.8%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.8%
1.78
BTTS No
50.8%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.34
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.74
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Floresta Win 80.8%
Draw 7.2%
Ituano Win 12%
Expected Goals (xG)
Floresta1.09
Ituano1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Floresta Floresta
WWDLW
20 GF / 20 GA
Ituano Ituano
WLDWL
18 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
12
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Floresta Floresta 18 matches
Ituano Ituano 18 matches
Floresta Statistic Ituano
7 Wins 6
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 8
20 Goals For 18
20 Goals Against 19
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
12 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ituano arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituano having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ituano.

Floresta Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Floresta have collected 24 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 18:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ituano Analysis

Ituano approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 22 points from 17 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 18:18, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Floresta won 0 times, Ituano won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Floresta's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: Floresta wins 0, draws 1, Ituano wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation