BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Pfleger
Floresta
Match Timeline
Confiança
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
Caique
Floresta
🔄
62'
Renilson ↔ Gustavo Nicola
Confiança
🔄
62'
Joao Pedro ↔ Danielzinho
Confiança
🔄
62'
PK ↔ Maikon Aquino
Confiança
🔄
63'
Valdo ↔ Eduardo
Floresta
🔄
68'
Mateus Ludke ↔ Valdir Junior
Confiança
🟨
72'
Buga
Floresta
🔄
72'
Buga ↔ Danrley
Floresta
🔄
72'
Nonato ↔ Marco Antonio
Floresta
🔄
75'
C. Breiner ↔ Sassa
Confiança
🔄
80'
Caique ↔ Diego Matos
Floresta
🔄
80'
Jeam ↔ Daniel
Floresta
🟨
90+6'
Gustavo Nicola
Confiança

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Floresta Win 100%
Draw 0%
Confiança Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Floresta1.11
Confiança0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Floresta Floresta
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Confiança Confiança
WLDWL
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.44
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
6
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Floresta Floresta 8 matches
Confiança Confiança 9 matches
Floresta Statistic Confiança
3 Wins 2
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 6
10 Goals For 4
9 Goals Against 8
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.44
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
6 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 2
5 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Floresta's more proactive style and Confiança's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Floresta arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 12 points compared to Confiança in 16 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Confiança arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Confiança. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Confiança having the stronger overall control.

Floresta Analysis

So far, Floresta have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 12 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel (2 goals), Garraty (2 goals), Jeam (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança sit 16 with 6 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 4:7, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Joao Pedro (2 goals), Icaro (1 goals), PK (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Floresta won 3 times, Confiança won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Floresta's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Floresta wins 3, draws 0, Confiança wins 2

Lineups

Floresta
Formation
Confiança
Dheimison
Dheimison
Afonso
Afonso
Joao Victor
Joao Victor
Jhony Douglas
Jhony Douglas
Jeam
Jeam
Garraty
Garraty
Valdo
Valdo
Nonato
Nonato
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins
Caique
Caique
Buga
Buga
Rafael Pascoal
Rafael Pascoal
Mateus Ludke
Mateus Ludke
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Icaro
Icaro
Renilson
Renilson
Kelvyn
Kelvyn
Gabriel Zeca
Gabriel Zeca
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
PK
PK
Iago Silva
Iago Silva
C. Breiner
C. Breiner
Floresta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Dheimison
3
Afonso
4
Joao Victor
5
Jhony Douglas
9
Jeam
↓ 80'
13
Garraty
14
Valdo
↓ 63'
17
Nonato
↓ 72'
21
Matheus Martins
29
Caique
⚽ 27' ↓ 80'
31
Buga
↓ 72' 🟨 72'
Substitutes
1
Jeferson Souza
6
Diego Matos
↑ 80'
10
Matheusinho
8
Danrley
↑ 72'
11
Rafinha
18
Joao Celeri
19
Daniel
↑ 80'
22
Tiepo
25
Diogo Mourao
27
Marco Antonio
↑ 72'
28
Guilherme Borges
30
Eduardo
↑ 63'
Confiança 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Rafael Pascoal
2
Mateus Ludke
↓ 68'
3
Lucas Cunha
4
Icaro
13
Renilson
↓ 62'
6
Kelvyn
8
Gabriel Zeca
9
Joao Pedro
↓ 62'
10
PK
↓ 62'
11
Iago Silva
21
C. Breiner
↓ 75'
Substitutes
12
Matheus Silva
5
Gustavo Nicola
↑ 62' 🟨 90+6'
7
Danielzinho
↑ 62'
14
Eduardo Moura
15
Paulo Henrique
16
Enzo Rocha
19
Maikon Aquino
↑ 62'
22
Valdir Junior
↑ 68'
99
Sassa
↑ 75'
Last matches: Floresta
14.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Figueirense
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Paysandu
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Amazonas
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Floresta
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Maranhão
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Ferroviária
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
Last matches: Confiança
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
H2H: Floresta vs Confiança
30.05.26
H2H
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
17.08.25
H2H
Confiança
Floresta
1
0
L
10.06.24
H2H
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
07.08.23
H2H
Confiança
Floresta
3
1
L
10.04.22
H2H
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
Last matches: Floresta
14.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Figueirense
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Amazonas
3
2
W
04.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Maranhão
1
2
L
20.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Ferroviária
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
H2H at home: Floresta
30.05.26
H2H
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
10.06.24
H2H
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
Last matches: Confiança
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
H2H away: Confiança
30.05.26
H2H
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
L
10.06.24
H2H
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
L
10.04.22
H2H
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
2 10 5 3 2 15:10 5 18
L D W L W
3 10 5 3 2 13:10 3 18
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 17:13 4 17
L L W L W
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L W W W
6 10 5 1 4 12:12 0 16
W L L L L
7 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D W D
8 10 4 3 3 9:7 2 15
W D D W W
9 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W L W D
10 10 4 2 4 7:9 -2 14
W W W L D
11 10 4 2 4 10:14 -4 14
W W D L W
12 9 4 1 4 19:21 -2 13
L D W L W
13 9 3 4 2 9:9 0 13
D W W D W
14 9 3 3 3 9:11 -2 12
D D L W W
15 9 2 5 2 12:9 3 11
D L D D W
16 9 3 1 5 12:15 -3 10
L L L L W
17 9 3 0 6 10:14 -4 9
W L L L L
18 10 2 1 7 4:9 -5 7
L L D W L
19 10 1 4 5 8:15 -7 7
D L D W D
20 10 1 2 7 6:14 -8 5
L D L D L