ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
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A. Le Coq Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.2%
1.57
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.48
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.57
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Flora Tallinn Win 78.2%
Draw 10.9%
Laagri Win 10.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flora Tallinn1.73
Laagri1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WWDLW
55 GF / 34 GA
Laagri Laagri
WLDWL
46 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
12
BTTS Yes
15
21
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 30 matches
Laagri Laagri 27 matches
Flora Tallinn Statistic Laagri
17 Wins 12
2 Draws 3
11 Losses 12
55 Goals For 46
34 Goals Against 43
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
12 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 24
21 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Flora Tallinn's more proactive style and Laagri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Laagri having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Laagri. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Laagri arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Flora Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 36 points compared to Laagri in 8 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 36 points from 19 games, Flora Tallinn bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 39:21, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Laagri Analysis

With 25 points from 20 games and a place of 8, Laagri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 30:34, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Flora Tallinn won 9 times, Laagri won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:7 from Flora Tallinn's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.1%)
Predicted formations: Flora Tallinn 4-3-3 / Laagri -
H2H summary: Flora Tallinn wins 9, draws 0, Laagri wins 1
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
30.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
1
0
W
17.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
3
L
02.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
W
28.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
16.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
29.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
4
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
3
L
Last matches: Laagri
19.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
5
2
W
10.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
05.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
H2H: Flora Tallinn vs Laagri
30.04.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
22.03.26
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
L
04.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
1
2
W
16.08.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
09.05.25
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
3
W
22.04.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
1
W
22.10.23
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
3
W
25.08.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
2
0
W
19.05.23
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
1
W
03.03.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
0
W
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
23.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
1
0
W
17.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
2
L
08.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
3
L
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
3
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Riga
0
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Ogre United
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
4
0
W
17.07.25
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
L
H2H at home: Flora Tallinn
30.04.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
16.08.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
22.04.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
1
W
25.08.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
2
0
W
03.03.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
0
W
Last matches: Laagri
05.07.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
2
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
01.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
H2H away: Laagri
30.04.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
L
16.08.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
L
22.04.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
1
L
25.08.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
2
0
L
03.03.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.85
Draw 4.23
Home 1.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.88
Draw 2.59
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 2.75 1.58
Over 3.0 1.76
Over 3.25 2.02
Over 3.5 2.23
Over 3.75 2.55
Over 4.0 3.12
Over 4.25 2.94
Under 2.5 2.54
Under 2.75 2.28
Under 3.0 2.03
Under 3.25 1.80
Under 3.5 1.63
Under 3.75 1.48
Under 4.0 1.33
Under 4.25 1.37
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 4.10
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.60
Home 2.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.00
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.96
Draw 4.10
Home 1.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.09
Draw 2.40
Home 2.03
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.73
Draw 2.93
Home 1.81
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.15
Over 2.25 1.29
Over 2.5 1.43
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.67
Over 3.25 1.92
Over 3.5 2.14
Over 3.75 2.38
Over 4.0 2.88
Over 4.25 3.20
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 4.75 4.25
Over 5.0 5.65
Over 5.25 5.94
Over 5.5 6.25
Over 6.0 9.00
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 14.90
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.5 5.10
Under 1.75 4.70
Under 2.0 4.25
Under 2.25 3.04
Under 2.5 2.46
Under 2.75 2.21
Under 3.0 1.98
Under 3.25 1.79
Under 3.5 1.63
Under 3.75 1.46
Under 4.0 1.32
Under 4.25 1.26
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 4.75 1.15
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.07
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.0 1.01
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 4.60
Home 1.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 2.80
Home 1.82
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 3.20
Home 1.72
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.0 1.57
Over 3.25 1.77
Over 3.5 1.96
Over 3.75 2.18
Over 4.0 2.60
Over 4.25 2.85
Over 4.5 3.10
Over 4.75 3.70
Over 5.0 4.75
Over 5.5 5.25
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.0 2.23
Under 3.25 1.92
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 3.75 1.57
Under 4.0 1.41
Under 4.25 1.35
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 4.75 1.22
Under 5.0 1.14
Under 5.5 1.09

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 14 4 1 49:16 33 46
W L D W W
2 19 12 0 7 39:21 18 36
L W W L W
3 20 10 5 5 33:16 17 35
D W D D L
4 20 9 5 6 32:28 4 32
L W D W W
5 20 8 2 10 28:38 -10 26
L W L W L
6 18 8 2 8 21:26 -5 26
L W W W D
7 20 8 1 11 39:46 -7 25
W W L W L
8 20 8 1 11 30:34 -4 25
W W L L L
9 20 5 3 12 19:33 -14 18
D L L L D
10 20 4 1 15 15:47 -32 13
W L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga