ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: E. Reinumagi
Flora Tallinn
Match Timeline
Kuressaare
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
27'
A. Visse · Assist: T. Jurisoo
Kuressaare
30'
D. Andreas · Assist: T. Jurisoo
Kuressaare
33'
S. Alamaa · Assist: T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
34'
T. Jurisoo
Kuressaare
48'
S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
🟨
51'
S. Sinilaid
Kuressaare
🔄
54'
D. Kuraksin ↔ S. Tovstik
Flora Tallinn
🟨
56'
S. Tovstik
Flora Tallinn
🔄
62'
A. Visse ↔ A. Kivi
Kuressaare
🟨
65'
A. Kivi
Kuressaare
🔄
71'
J. Vahermagi ↔ S. Prunn
Kuressaare
🔄
74'
R. Valdmets ↔ M. Kukkonen
Flora Tallinn
🟨
76'
M. Kolobov
Flora Tallinn
🟨
82'
O. Pihela
Flora Tallinn
🔄
83'
T. Teevali ↔ R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🟨
88'
S. Zenjov
Flora Tallinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.9%
1.07
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.43
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.98
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Flora Tallinn Win 55%
Draw 20.9%
Kuressaare Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flora Tallinn1.8
Kuressaare1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WWDLW
56 GF / 40 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
33 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
12
BTTS Yes
15
22
Over 2.5
16
1.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 33 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 27 matches
Flora Tallinn Statistic Kuressaare
18 Wins 7
2 Draws 5
13 Losses 15
56 Goals For 33
40 Goals Against 53
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
12 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 20
22 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 10
13 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 11
1.33 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
2.17 Corners 0
16.3% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Flora Tallinn's more proactive style and Kuressaare's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kuressaare. Kuressaare arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kuressaare having the stronger overall control. Flora Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 39 points compared to Kuressaare in 9 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 39 points from 20 games, Flora Tallinn bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 40:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Kuressaare Analysis

Kuressaare sit 9 with 21 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats with a 22:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flora Tallinn won 13 times, Kuressaare won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 42:10 from Flora Tallinn's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.1%)
Predicted formations: Flora Tallinn 4-3-3 / Kuressaare -
H2H summary: Flora Tallinn wins 13, draws 2, Kuressaare wins 0
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
13.08.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0
4
L
06.08.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0
2
L
02.08.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
1
0
W
17.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
3
L
02.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
W
28.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
16.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
29.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
4
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
Last matches: Kuressaare
07.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
02.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
11.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
3
L
02.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
02.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
H2H: Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare
02.07.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
0
3
W
07.04.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
01.11.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
W
27.05.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
3
W
29.03.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
5
0
W
26.10.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
W
14.09.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
3
4
W
21.05.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
1
0
W
27.04.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
07.10.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
W
04.08.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
4
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
0
3
W
11.04.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
4
W
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
13.08.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0
4
L
02.08.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
1
0
W
17.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
2
L
08.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
3
L
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
3
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Riga
0
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Ogre United
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
4
0
W
17.07.25
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
L
H2H at home: Flora Tallinn
07.04.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
01.11.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
29.03.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
5
0
W
26.10.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
W
21.05.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
1
0
W
07.10.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
W
04.08.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
4
0
W
Last matches: Kuressaare
02.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
11.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
3
L
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
24.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Viimsi
2
3
L
H2H away: Kuressaare
07.04.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
L
01.11.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
5
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
L
21.05.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
1
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
L
04.08.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.89
Draw 5.11
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.42
Draw 2.79
Home 1.74
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.43
Over 2.75 1.52
Over 3.0 1.67
Over 3.25 1.90
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 3.75 2.38
Over 4.0 2.89
Under 2.5 2.69
Under 2.75 2.42
Under 3.0 2.17
Under 3.25 1.90
Under 3.5 1.71
Under 3.75 1.54
Under 4.0 1.38
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 4.75
Home 1.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.62
Home 1.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 3.10
Home 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.80
Draw 4.80
Home 1.31
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.87
Draw 2.51
Home 1.78
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.41
Draw 3.20
Home 1.57
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.28
Over 2.5 1.41
Over 2.75 1.50
Over 3.0 1.64
Over 3.25 1.87
Over 3.5 2.09
Over 3.75 2.30
Over 4.0 2.78
Over 4.25 3.05
Over 4.5 3.34
Over 4.75 4.05
Over 5.0 5.35
Over 5.25 5.65
Over 5.5 5.95
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.5 5.25
Under 1.75 4.80
Under 2.0 4.35
Under 2.25 3.08
Under 2.5 2.52
Under 2.75 2.28
Under 3.0 2.02
Under 3.25 1.83
Under 3.5 1.66
Under 3.75 1.49
Under 4.0 1.34
Under 4.25 1.28
Under 4.5 1.24
Under 4.75 1.16
Under 5.0 1.09
Under 5.25 1.08
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 5.25
Home 1.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 2.88
Home 1.71
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 3.45
Home 1.57
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.0 1.13
Over 2.25 1.25
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 2.75 1.43
Over 3.0 1.54
Over 3.25 1.75
Over 3.5 1.95
Over 3.75 2.20
Over 4.0 2.60
Over 4.25 2.85
Over 4.5 3.10
Over 4.75 3.65
Over 5.0 4.60
Over 5.25 4.90
Over 5.5 5.10
Over 5.75 6.25
Over 6.0 8.50
Under 1.5 5.75
Under 2.0 4.90
Under 2.25 3.50
Under 2.5 2.80
Under 2.75 2.55
Under 3.0 2.23
Under 3.25 1.92
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 3.75 1.58
Under 4.0 1.43
Under 4.25 1.36
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 4.75 1.22
Under 5.0 1.14
Under 5.25 1.13
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 5.75 1.08
Under 6.0 1.04

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 5 1 55:17 38 50
W D W L D
2 22 12 5 5 40:17 23 41
W W D W D
3 20 13 0 7 40:21 19 39
W L W W L
4 21 10 5 6 33:28 5 35
W L W D W
5 20 9 2 9 23:31 -8 29
W L L W W
6 21 8 3 10 29:39 -10 27
D L W L W
7 23 8 1 14 40:54 -14 25
L L L W W
8 22 8 1 13 32:38 -6 25
L L W W L
9 22 6 3 13 22:36 -14 21
W L D L L
10 22 5 1 16 17:50 -33 16
L W W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga