ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: K. Tohver
Flora Tallinn
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
R. Sappinen · Assist: S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
22'
M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
48'
A. Kollo
Flora Tallinn
🟨
53'
N. Kalmokov
Flora Tallinn
54'
Wendell · Assist: Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
59'
D. Kuraksin ↔ R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🟨
61'
R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🟨
62'
J. Saliste
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
70'
Joao Pedro ↔ M. Sambe
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
73'
R. Valdmets ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
🔄
73'
R. Veering ↔ S. Zenjov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
75'
M. Skvortsov ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
83'
M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
85'
N. Kalmokov ↔ O. Pihela
Flora Tallinn
🔄
85'
S. Alamaa ↔ I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
86'
M. Roosnupp ↔ T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
86'
Wendell ↔ Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
90+3'
E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
90'
M. Ainsalu · Assist: E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.4%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Flora Tallinn Win 42.5%
Draw 5.1%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 52.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flora Tallinn1.6
FC Levadia Tallinn1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WWDLW
40 GF / 19 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
48 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.53
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 20 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 19 matches
Flora Tallinn Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
13 Wins 13
1 Draws 4
6 Losses 2
40 Goals For 48
19 Goals Against 19
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.53
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Levadia Tallinn. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 27 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, while the 29:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on R. Sappinen (8 goals), S. Zenjov (5 goals), S. Alamaa (4 goals), with creative support from S. Alamaa (5 assists), R. Sappinen (4 assists), S. Zenjov (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 36 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 39:10 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by B. Tambedou (11 goals), Wendell (8 goals), E. Otoo (4 goals), with creative support from M. Ainsalu (6 assists), M. Skvortsov (5 assists), J. Saliste (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flora Tallinn won 6 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Flora Tallinn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Flora Tallinn wins 6, draws 1, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 8

Lineups

Flora Tallinn
Formation
FC Levadia Tallinn
K. Kivila
K. Kivila
N. Kalmokov
N. Kalmokov
M. Kolobov
M. Kolobov
R. Veering
R. Veering
A. Kollo
A. Kollo
V. Kreida
V. Kreida
R. Valdmets
R. Valdmets
D. Kuraksin
D. Kuraksin
T. Varjund
T. Varjund
S. Alamaa
🎯
S. Alamaa
R. Sappinen
R. Sappinen
K. Vallner
K. Vallner
F. Liivak
F. Liivak
V. Iboro
V. Iboro
A. Nwankwo
A. Nwankwo
J. Saliste
J. Saliste
R. Peetson
R. Peetson
M. Ainsalu
M. Ainsalu
Joao Pedro
🎯
Joao Pedro
M. Roosnupp
M. Roosnupp
Wendell
Wendell
M. Skvortsov
M. Skvortsov
Flora Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Kivila
2
N. Kalmokov
↓ 85' 🟨 53'
23
M. Kolobov
6
R. Veering
↓ 73'
3
A. Kollo
🟨 48'
32
V. Kreida
18
R. Valdmets
↓ 73'
7
D. Kuraksin
↓ 59'
14
T. Varjund
29
S. Alamaa
🎯 6' ↓ 85'
11
R. Sappinen
⚽ 6'
Substitutes
33
E. Grunvald
5
A. Vaher
8
T. Teevali
9
R. Alliku
↑ 59' 🟨 61'
17
T. Usta
↑ 73'
20
S. Zenjov
↑ 73'
21
A. Kaares
24
O. Pihela
↑ 85'
67
I. Antonov
↑ 85'
76
R. Sammul
89
M. Kalimullin
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Vallner
23
F. Liivak
35
V. Iboro
20
A. Nwankwo
29
J. Saliste
🟨 62'
6
R. Peetson
11
M. Ainsalu
⚽ 90' 🟨 83'
36
Joao Pedro
🎯 54' ↓ 70'
5
M. Roosnupp
↓ 86'
10
Wendell
⚽ 54' ↓ 86'
21
M. Skvortsov
⚽ 22' ↓ 75'
Substitutes
1
O. Ani
4
T. Tammik
↑ 86'
7
G. Lehtmets
9
B. Tambedou
18
Alexandre
↑ 86'
19
M. Sambe
↑ 70'
33
E. Otoo
🎯 90' ↑ 75' 🟨 90+3'
71
Kaua Davi
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
16.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
4
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
3
L
22.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
0
2
L
15.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
3
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Riga
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Ogre United
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
4
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
AIK Stockholm
0
1
L
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
W
H2H: Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn
13.06.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
19.04.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
L
14.02.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
29.10.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
1
W
24.09.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
3
L
17.09.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
3
W
18.05.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
12.04.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
03.11.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
2
L
30.08.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
04.07.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
09.04.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
2
1
L
20.01.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
05.11.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
2
1
L
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
3
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Riga
0
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Ogre United
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
4
0
W
17.07.25
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
L
H2H at home: Flora Tallinn
13.06.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
14.02.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
29.10.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
1
W
24.09.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
3
L
18.05.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
30.08.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
20.01.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
3
2
W
29.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
15.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H away: FC Levadia Tallinn
13.06.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
W
14.02.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
L
29.10.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
1
L
24.09.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
3
W
18.05.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
L
30.08.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
L
20.01.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
W

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 4 0 45:13 32 43
D W W W W
2 15 10 0 5 32:16 16 30
W L W W W
3 17 9 3 5 29:14 15 30
D L D L W
4 16 7 4 5 24:20 4 25
W D D L L
5 15 6 2 7 17:20 -3 20
W D L W W
6 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
L D W L W
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 16 5 2 9 17:26 -9 17
D W D W L
10 16 3 1 12 11:39 -28 10
D L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga