FRANCE › LIGUE 3
15.05.2026 17:30
Stade Robert Bobin
Fleury 91
Match Timeline
Rouen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
E. Bovis
Fleury 91
🟨
46'
H. Karamoko
Fleury 91
🟨
49'
K. Farade
Fleury 91
⚽
61'
K. Farade · Assist: Y. Le Mehaute
Fleury 91
🔄
68'
I. Seydi ↔ S. Faye
Rouen
🔄
68'
M. Benzia ↔ A. Kerouedan
Rouen
🔄
69'
M. Belliard ↔ H. Aubourg
Fleury 91
🟥
72'
H. Aubourg
Fleury 91
🔄
75'
C. Bassin ↔ J. Mbock
Rouen
🔄
80'
Y. Le Mehaute ↔ T. Plisson
Fleury 91
🔄
80'
K. Farade ↔ V. Lavigne
Fleury 91
🟨
84'
V. Fuss
Rouen
⚽
87'
K. Rocha Santos
Rouen
🔄
88'
J. Rivas ↔ C. Badin
Fleury 91
🔄
90+3'
O. Bezzekhami ↔ E. Genton
Rouen
⚽
90'
S. Faye · Assist: A. Cartillier
Rouen

Fleury 91 vs Rouen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fleury 91 Win 82.4%
Draw 5.9%
Rouen Win 11.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fleury 911.26
Rouen1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleury 91 Fleury 91
WWDLW
48 GF / 30 GA
Rouen Rouen
WLDWL
41 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
13
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fleury 91 Fleury 91 32 matches
Rouen Rouen 31 matches
Fleury 91 Statistic Rouen
15 Wins 13
10 Draws 13
7 Losses 5
48 Goals For 41
30 Goals Against 28
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
13 BTTS Yes 19
23 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 12
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rouen. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rouen having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Fleury 91 Analysis

Fleury 91 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 54 points after 31 outings. The return of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 46:28, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Farade (18 goals), J. Rivas (7 goals), Y. Le Mehaute (4 goals), with creative support from K. Farade (6 assists), V. Lavigne (6 assists), J. Rivas (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Rouen Analysis

Placed 4 with 52 points from 31 outings, Rouen continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 13 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 41:28 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Rocha Santos (9 goals), I. Seydi (8 goals), A. Ba-Sy (6 goals), with creative support from K. Rocha Santos (5 assists), C. Bassin (4 assists), A. Ba-Sy (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Fleury 91 won 0 times, Rouen won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Fleury 91's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: Fleury 91 wins 0, draws 2, Rouen wins 2

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3
Rouen Away
32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
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