FRANCE LIGUE 3
26.09.2026 18:45
Stade Robert Bobin

Fleury 91 vs Aubagne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fleury 91 Win 30.8%
Draw 24%
Aubagne Win 45.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fleury 911.24
Aubagne1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleury 91 Fleury 91
WWDLW
13 GF / 20 GA
Aubagne Aubagne
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
7
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fleury 91 Fleury 91 11 matches
Aubagne Aubagne 9 matches
Fleury 91 Statistic Aubagne
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
13 Goals For 6
20 Goals Against 12
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
7 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Fleury 91's more proactive style and Aubagne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fleury 91. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fleury 91 having the stronger overall control. Fleury 91 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 8 points while Aubagne sit 16 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Aubagne have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Fleury 91 Analysis

Aubagne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 3:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aubagne Analysis

Fleury 91 sit 12 with 8 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fleury 91 won 1 times, Aubagne won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Fleury 91's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76%)
H2H summary: Fleury 91 wins 1, draws 0, Aubagne wins 1

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 13:2 11 17
W W D W W
2 7 4 3 0 10:6 4 15
W D D W D
3 7 3 3 1 9:6 3 12
W W D D W
4 7 3 3 1 13:11 2 12
D L D D W
5 7 4 0 3 12:7 5 12
L W W L W
6 7 3 2 2 8:2 6 11
W D W W L
7 7 2 5 0 8:3 5 11
D D W W D
8 7 3 1 3 10:11 -1 10
D W L L W
9 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:9 -3 10
D W L W L
11 7 2 3 2 5:7 -2 9
D L D D W
12 7 2 3 2 6:8 -2 9
D W D W L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
D W W L L
14 7 2 1 4 6:10 -4 7
L L D L W
15 7 1 2 4 7:12 -5 5
L L D D L
16 7 1 1 5 3:8 -5 4
L L D W L
17 7 1 1 5 4:12 -8 4
D L L L L
18 7 1 1 5 6:17 -11 4
L D L L L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation