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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
17.10.2026 11:30
Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fleetwood Town Win 39.9%
Draw 31.8%
Rotherham Win 28.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fleetwood Town1.28
Rotherham1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
WWDLW
21 GF / 14 GA
Rotherham Rotherham
WLDWL
19 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.12
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
8
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
5
3.7
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 16 matches
Rotherham Rotherham 17 matches
Fleetwood Town Statistic Rotherham
6 Wins 5
6 Draws 7
4 Losses 5
21 Goals For 19
14 Goals Against 21
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
8 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
3.7 Shots On Goal 3.9
14.7 Total Shots 12.4
5 Corners 3.7
49.4% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Rotherham. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fleetwood Town expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Rotherham in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rotherham having the stronger overall control. Fleetwood Town have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Fleetwood Town Analysis

Fleetwood Town approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 10 points from 9 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 9:10, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Loupalo-Bi (2 goals), W. Davies (2 goals), R. Coughlan (1 goals), with creative support from C. Evans (2 assists), A. Loupalo-Bi (1 assists), R. Coughlan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rotherham Analysis

Rotherham sit 17 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 11:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through P. Mullin (4 goals), Brandon Ashley Cover (1 goals), O. Ashley (1 goals), with creative support from K. Spence (2 assists), J. Austerfield (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Fleetwood Town won 5 times, Rotherham won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Fleetwood Town's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (71.7%)
Predicted formations: Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2 / Rotherham 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Fleetwood Town wins 5, draws 2, Rotherham wins 5

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League