ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Highbury Stadium
Referee: S. Parkinson
Fleetwood Town
Match Timeline
Milton Keynes Dons
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
R. Coughlan · Assist: J. Bolton
Fleetwood Town
37'
C. Paterson · Assist: B. Wiles
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
61'
G. Jones ↔ A. Nemane
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
61'
N. Mendez-Laing ↔ R. Hepburn-Murphy
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
67'
C. Nelson ↔ A. Collins
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
74'
J. Bolton ↔ R. Cirino
Fleetwood Town
🔄
82'
L. Kelly ↔ D. Crowley
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
82'
J. Sanders ↔ L. Offord
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
83'
W. Davies ↔ O. Devonport
Fleetwood Town
🔄
83'
M. Helm ↔ C. McLean
Fleetwood Town
🔄
90'
R. Coughlan ↔ G. Morrison
Fleetwood Town

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fleetwood Town Win 31.1%
Draw 0%
Milton Keynes Dons Win 68.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fleetwood Town1.15
Milton Keynes Dons1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
WWDLW
60 GF / 61 GA
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
WLDWL
92 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1
32
BTTS Yes
30
23
Over 2.5
27
3.98
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 48 matches
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 48 matches
Fleetwood Town Statistic Milton Keynes Dons
16 Wins 26
16 Draws 14
16 Losses 8
60 Goals For 92
61 Goals Against 48
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1
32 BTTS Yes 30
35 Over 1.5 38
23 Over 2.5 27
10 Over 3.5 19
9 Clean Sheets 15
10 Failed To Score 6
3.98 Shots On Goal 4.6
12.04 Total Shots 12.09
4.67 Corners 4.51
47.7% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Milton Keynes Dons's more proactive style and Fleetwood Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Milton Keynes Dons. Milton Keynes Dons carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 85 points while Fleetwood Town sit 15 on 60, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Fleetwood Town Analysis

Fleetwood Town approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 60 points from 45 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 15 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 56:57, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Graydon (11 goals), M. Helm (10 goals), Ched Evans (6 goals), with creative support from R. Graydon (8 assists), Ched Evans (6 assists), E. Ennis (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Milton Keynes Dons Analysis

Milton Keynes Dons approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 85 points after 45 outings. With 24 wins, 13 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 85:44, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Paterson (15 goals), A. Gilbey (12 goals), Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (9 goals), with creative support from L. Kelly (9 assists), C. Paterson (8 assists), A. Gilbey (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 11 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fleetwood Town won 6 times, Milton Keynes Dons won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Fleetwood Town's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2 / Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Fleetwood Town wins 6, draws 5, Milton Keynes Dons wins 3
Stats
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 3
7 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 0
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
338 Total passes 447
217 Passes accurate 337
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fleetwood Town
Formation
Milton Keynes Dons
J. Lynch
J. Lynch
H. Holgate
H. Holgate
J. Bolton
🎯
J. Bolton
F. Potter
F. Potter
H. Neal
H. Neal
E. Ennis
E. Ennis
E. Bonds
E. Bonds
M. Helm
M. Helm
J. Powell
J. Powell
R. Coughlan
R. Coughlan
W. Davies
W. Davies
C. MacGillivray
C. MacGillivray
M. Ekpiteta
M. Ekpiteta
C. Nelson
C. Nelson
J. Sanders
J. Sanders
L. Kelly
L. Kelly
G. Jones
G. Jones
B. Wiles
🎯
B. Wiles
A. Gilbey
A. Gilbey
J. Tomlinson
J. Tomlinson
C. Paterson
C. Paterson
N. Mendez-Laing
N. Mendez-Laing
Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
13
J. Lynch
G
18
H. Holgate
D
4
J. Bolton
🎯 24' ↓ 74'
D
5
F. Potter
D
20
H. Neal
M
16
E. Ennis
M
6
E. Bonds
M
10
M. Helm
↓ 83'
M
22
J. Powell
M
19
R. Coughlan
⚽ 24' ↓ 90'
F
9
W. Davies
↓ 83'
Substitutes
37
L. Hewitson
8
M. Virtue-Thick
M
29
O. Devonport
↑ 83'
F
39
R. Cirino
↑ 74'
7
D. E. Osong
F
23
G. Morrison
↑ 90'
M
38
C. McLean
↑ 83'
Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
C. MacGillivray
G
21
M. Ekpiteta
D
25
C. Nelson
↓ 67'
D
32
J. Sanders
↓ 82'
D
6
L. Kelly
↓ 82'
M
2
G. Jones
↓ 61'
M
26
B. Wiles
🎯 37'
M
8
A. Gilbey
M
14
J. Tomlinson
M
13
C. Paterson
⚽ 37'
F
11
N. Mendez-Laing
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
27
C. Trueman
G
7
D. Crowley
↑ 82'
M
10
A. Collins
↑ 67'
F
16
A. Nemane
↑ 61'
F
24
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
M
29
R. Hepburn-Murphy
↑ 61'
F
15
L. Offord
↑ 82'
D
Last matches: Fleetwood Town
01.08.26
Fri
Fleetwood Town
Hartlepool
0
1
L
28.07.26
Fri
Fleetwood Town
Bolton
1
1
D
21.07.26
Fri
Fleetwood Town
Huddersfield
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Fleetwood Town
Southport
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Fleetwood Town
Chester
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Fleetwood Town
Bamber Bridge
5
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Shrewsbury
2
2
D
18.04.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Chesterfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Accrington ST
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Barnet
2
5
L
03.04.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Bristol Rovers
0
1
L
28.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Swindon Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Crawley Town
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Tranmere
0
0
D
10.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Cheltenham
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Walsall
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Barrow
3
2
W
Last matches: Milton Keynes Dons
01.08.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Cheltenham
2
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Barnet
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Wealdstone
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Tottenham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Istra 1961
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Maidenhead
4
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Tranmere
3
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Crewe
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Bromley
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Oldham
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Barrow
0
0
D
28.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Salford City
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Barnet
1
3
L
18.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Colchester
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
5
1
W
07.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Harrogate Town
4
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Cambridge United
1
1
D
23.02.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Walsall
2
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Crawley Town
0
0
D
H2H: Fleetwood Town vs Milton Keynes Dons
02.05.26
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
29.11.25
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
2
4
W
21.01.25
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
2
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
10.12.22
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
1
2
W
08.02.22
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
28.09.21
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
3
3
D
01.05.21
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
19.01.21
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
3
1
L
04.04.20
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
0
0
D
26.10.19
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
24.02.18
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
11.11.17
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
1
0
L
18.02.17
H2H
Milton Keynes Dons
Fleetwood Town
0
1
W
Last matches: Fleetwood Town
28.07.26
Fri
Fleetwood Town
Bolton
1
1
D
21.07.26
Fri
Fleetwood Town
Huddersfield
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Fleetwood Town
Chester
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Chesterfield
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Barnet
2
5
L
21.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Crawley Town
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Tranmere
0
0
D
10.03.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Cheltenham
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Barrow
3
2
W
07.02.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Bromley
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Notts County
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Cambridge United
1
2
L
01.01.26
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby
0
1
L
20.12.25
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
2
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Salford City
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Fleetwood Town
Luton
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Shrewsbury
3
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Fleetwood Town
Swindon Town
1
1
D
01.11.25
FA
Fleetwood Town
Barnet
2
1
W
H2H at home: Fleetwood Town
02.05.26
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
21.01.25
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
2
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
08.02.22
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
01.05.21
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
26.10.19
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
24.02.18
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
Last matches: Milton Keynes Dons
01.08.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Cheltenham
2
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Barnet
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Wealdstone
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Tottenham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Istra 1961
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Milton Keynes Dons
Maidenhead
4
1
W
18.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Crewe
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Oldham
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Salford City
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
5
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Cambridge United
1
1
D
23.02.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Walsall
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Cheltenham
3
2
W
31.01.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Grimsby
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Accrington ST
2
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Colchester
0
1
L
20.12.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Harrogate Town
4
0
W
09.12.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Notts County
2
3
L
22.11.25
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Tranmere
2
2
D
H2H away: Milton Keynes Dons
02.05.26
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
21.01.25
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
2
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
L
08.02.22
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
01.05.21
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
26.10.19
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
L
24.02.18
H2H
Fleetwood Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation