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LITHUANIA › A LYGA
10.10.2026 11:15
LFF stadionas
Referee: R. Valikonis
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Match Timeline
Suduva Marijampole
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
M. Vareika · Assist: S. Bilenkyi
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
⚽
14'
A. Zivanovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🟨
45'
S. M. Sanokho
Suduva Marijampole
🟥
45+3'
R. Grigalava
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
60'
F. Steponavicius ↔ T. Milasius
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
60'
I. Seck ↔ T. Lucky
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
60'
A. Zivanovic ↔ F. Tangiri
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
62'
O. Verbickas ↔ M. Capan
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
62'
M. Vareika ↔ B. Teixeira
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
⚽
71'
B. Teixeira · Assist: N. Mihajlovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
73'
S. Bilenkyi ↔ N. Petkovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
73'
N. Mihajlovic ↔ G. Jarusevicius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
74'
S. M. Sanokho ↔ Y. Omori
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
74'
M. Chajia ↔ O. Haydary
Suduva Marijampole
🟨
76'
G. Jarusevicius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
78'
P. Golubickas ↔ L. Antal
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
⚽
81'
B. Teixeira · Assist: G. Jarusevicius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
VAR
86'
N. Petkovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.23
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.4%
2.23 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.86 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win 46.4%
Draw 16.4%
Suduva Marijampole Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.42
Suduva Marijampole1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
WWDLW
68 GF / 63 GA
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
WLDWL
57 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
21
BTTS Yes
19
27
Over 2.5
19
1
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 42 matches
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 36 matches
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Statistic Suduva Marijampole
20 Wins 18
6 Draws 12
16 Losses 6
68 Goals For 57
63 Goals Against 40
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
21 BTTS Yes 19
33 Over 1.5 27
27 Over 2.5 19
15 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 9
1 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
1.4 Corners 0
17% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Suduva Marijampole having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Suduva Marijampole. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis

Placed 4 with 44 points from 28 outings, FK Zalgiris Vilnius continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 41:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Suduva Marijampole Analysis

Suduva Marijampole arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 50 points after 28 matches. The record of 13 wins, 11 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 39:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Zalgiris Vilnius won 9 times, Suduva Marijampole won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:12 from FK Zalgiris Vilnius's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
H2H summary: FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 9, draws 5, Suduva Marijampole wins 1

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 29 13 11 5 39:29 10 50
L D D L W
3 29 14 5 10 45:34 11 47
W L W D W
4 28 13 6 9 43:35 8 45
W W L W D
5 28 11 8 9 32:28 4 41
W L L D D
6 28 10 8 10 36:40 -4 38
L L D L L
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 29 4 14 11 31:48 -17 26
D D L D D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L