LITHUANIA A LYGA
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LFF stadionas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win 88%
Draw 6%
Šiauliai Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.83
Šiauliai1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
WWDLW
64 GF / 56 GA
Šiauliai Šiauliai
WLDWL
34 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1
1.51
Average Goals Conceded
1.97
20
BTTS Yes
19
25
Over 2.5
19
1
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 37 matches
Šiauliai Šiauliai 34 matches
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Statistic Šiauliai
18 Wins 6
5 Draws 9
14 Losses 19
64 Goals For 34
56 Goals Against 67
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.51 Avg Goals Conceded 1.97
20 BTTS Yes 19
30 Over 1.5 27
25 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 11
1 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
1.4 Corners 0
17% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FK Zalgiris Vilnius's more proactive style and Šiauliai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Šiauliai. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FK Zalgiris Vilnius arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 37 points compared to Šiauliai in 9 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Šiauliai having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. FK Zalgiris Vilnius come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 37 points after 23 matches. With 11 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 37:27, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Šiauliai Analysis

With 16 points from 25 games and a place of 9, Šiauliai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 23:53 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Zalgiris Vilnius won 9 times, Šiauliai won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:14 from FK Zalgiris Vilnius's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-2-3-1 / Šiauliai -
H2H summary: FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 9, draws 5, Šiauliai wins 1

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 9 3 35:18 17 45
W W W W W
2 23 10 9 4 41:16 25 39
D D W W W
3 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
4 25 10 8 7 29:22 7 38
D D W L W
5 26 10 8 8 36:33 3 38
D L L W D
6 24 11 4 9 37:29 8 37
L W L W W
7 25 7 5 13 23:41 -18 26
W L L W D
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 26 3 7 16 24:55 -31 16
L L W L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L