LITHUANIA A LYGA
16.09.2026 15:45
LFF stadionas

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win 56%
Draw 4.2%
Kauno Žalgiris Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.39
Kauno Žalgiris1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
WWDLW
64 GF / 56 GA
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
WLDWL
65 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.51
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
20
BTTS Yes
17
25
Over 2.5
22
1
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 37 matches
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 39 matches
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Statistic Kauno Žalgiris
18 Wins 20
5 Draws 11
14 Losses 8
64 Goals For 65
56 Goals Against 34
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.51 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
20 BTTS Yes 17
30 Over 1.5 28
25 Over 2.5 22
14 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 18
9 Failed To Score 8
1 Shots On Goal 2.25
0 Total Shots 3.38
1.4 Corners 2.38
17% Ball Possession 22%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Zalgiris Vilnius won 7 times, Kauno Žalgiris won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from FK Zalgiris Vilnius's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-2-3-1 / Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 7, draws 1, Kauno Žalgiris wins 7

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 9 3 35:18 17 45
W W W W W
2 23 10 9 4 41:16 25 39
D D W W W
3 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
4 26 10 8 8 29:25 4 38
L D D W L
5 26 10 8 8 36:33 3 38
D L L W D
6 24 11 4 9 37:29 8 37
L W L W W
7 26 8 5 13 26:41 -15 29
W W L L W
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 26 3 7 16 24:55 -31 16
L L W L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L