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LITHUANIA › A LYGA
18.10.2026 14:00
LFF stadionas
Referee: O. Abramavicius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Match Timeline
Hegelmann Litauen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
P. Golubickas · Assist: D. Sesplaukis
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🟨
33'
D. Sesplaukis
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
⚽
34'
Wesley
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
39'
N. Mihajlovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🟨
45+1'
P. Bosancic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
46'
Nathan Silva ↔ A. Puerto
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
58'
M. Remeikis ↔ A. Harouna
Hegelmann Litauen
⚽
59'
S. Bilenkyi · Assist: N. Mihajlovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🟨
61'
V. Armanavicius
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
65'
K. Upstas ↔ M. Setkus
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
65'
N. Mihajlovic ↔ B. Teixeira
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
65'
O. Verbickas ↔ L. Antal
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
68'
E. Kausinis ↔ D. Pasilys
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
68'
D. Kazlauskas ↔ A. Shchedryi
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
71'
A. Harouna
Hegelmann Litauen
⚽
71'
M. Vareika
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
72'
M. Vareika ↔ M. Capan
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
79'
V. Armanavicius ↔ L. Jonaitis
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
81'
P. Golubickas ↔ G. Jarusevicius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🟨
84'
B. Isaac
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
85'
M. Capan
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
⚽
90+2'
B. Teixeira
FK Zalgiris Vilnius

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.8%
Odds 1.37
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.8%
1.37 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.51 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.39 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win 73.8%
Draw 4.3%
Hegelmann Litauen Win 21.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.62
Hegelmann Litauen1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
WWDLW
72 GF / 63 GA
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
WLDWL
42 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
21
BTTS Yes
25
28
Over 2.5
18
1
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 43 matches
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 38 matches
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Statistic Hegelmann Litauen
21 Wins 8
6 Draws 16
16 Losses 14
72 Goals For 42
63 Goals Against 59
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
21 BTTS Yes 25
34 Over 1.5 33
28 Over 2.5 18
16 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 11
1 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
1.4 Corners 0
17% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FK Zalgiris Vilnius's more proactive style and Hegelmann Litauen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. FK Zalgiris Vilnius arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 47 points compared to Hegelmann Litauen in 8 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hegelmann Litauen. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hegelmann Litauen having the stronger overall control.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 47 points from 29 games, FK Zalgiris Vilnius bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 14 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 45:34, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Hegelmann Litauen Analysis

So far, Hegelmann Litauen have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 26 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 14 draws, and 11 losses, while the 31:48 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Zalgiris Vilnius won 3 times, Hegelmann Litauen won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from FK Zalgiris Vilnius's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 3, draws 4, Hegelmann Litauen wins 8

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 9 5 57:20 37 54
W W L W W
2 30 15 5 10 49:35 14 50
W W L W D
3 30 13 11 6 39:30 9 50
L L D D L
4 29 13 7 9 46:38 8 46
D W W L W
5 29 11 8 10 33:30 3 41
L W L L D
6 29 10 9 10 39:43 -4 39
D L L D L
7 29 10 5 14 31:44 -13 35
W L W W W
8 30 4 14 12 32:52 -20 26
L D D L D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L