Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FK Liepaja
23 matches
Tukums
18 matches
| FK Liepaja | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 35 | Goals For | 34 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.83 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Tukums's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FK Liepaja have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tukums. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
FK Liepaja sit 5 with 18 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 17:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Gueye (3 goals), Fellipe Vieira (3 goals), K. Leidsman (3 goals), with creative support from Fellipe Vieira (1 assists), A. Korobenko (1 assists), C. Amatkarijo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 14 matches, Tukums have collected 13 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, while the 28:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Oloko (14 goals), R. Deruzinskis (6 goals), Leoni (4 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (6 assists), R. Deruzinskis (2 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 8 times, Tukums won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:13 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Lineups
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
Tukums
Panevėžys
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Liepaja
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
Paide
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 41:12 | 29 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 54:18 | 36 | 42 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Home
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:31 | -18 | 16 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Tukums
Away
|
17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 30:31 | -1 | 14 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 9 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 11:29 | -18 | 13 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14:42 | -28 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
L
|