Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FK Liepaja
27 matches
Rīgas FS
31 matches
| FK Liepaja | Statistic | Rīgas FS |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 24 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 11 | Losses | 3 |
| 40 | Goals For | 75 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.42 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rīgas FS's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rīgas FS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rīgas FS. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 46 points while FK Liepaja sit 4 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Placed 4 with 25 points from 18 outings, FK Liepaja continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 23:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Gueye (5 goals), K. Leidsman (5 goals), Fellipe Vieira (4 goals), with creative support from Fellipe Vieira (2 assists), A. Korobenko (2 assists), K. Leidsman (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 46 points after 18 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 42:14 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on D. Lemajic (8 goals), S. Panic (7 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (7 assists), M. Saidy (4 assists), L. Odisharia (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 1 times, Rīgas FS won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:38 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Lineups
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Liepaja
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
Paide
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
Paide
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
Rīgas FS
KuPS
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rīgas FS
Away
|
22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Home
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|