Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
84.5%
|
1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.45 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.91 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FK Liepaja
28 matches
Ogre United
22 matches
| FK Liepaja | Statistic | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 12 | Losses | 16 |
| 40 | Goals For | 20 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.41 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ogre United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. FK Liepaja arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 25 points compared to Ogre United in 10 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Ogre United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Placed 4 with 25 points from 19 outings, FK Liepaja continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 23:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Gueye (5 goals), K. Leidsman (5 goals), Fellipe Vieira (4 goals), with creative support from Fellipe Vieira (2 assists), A. Korobenko (2 assists), K. Leidsman (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ogre United sit 10 with 7 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 16:48, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Cudars (5 goals), E. Evelons (2 goals), K. Johnson (2 goals), with creative support from M. Kalnins (2 assists), K. Cudars (1 assists), M. Ivulans (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 2 times, Ogre United won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Liepaja
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
Paide
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 62:19 | 43 | 52 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 50:14 | 36 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Home
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 17 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12:32 | -20 | 17 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Ogre United
Away
|
20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 19:50 | -31 | 10 |
W
L
W
L
L
|