Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FK Liepaja
19 matches
Ogre United
13 matches
| FK Liepaja | Statistic | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 0 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 27 | Goals For | 10 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.77 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.15 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FK Liepaja arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 12 points compared to Ogre United in 10 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ogre United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ogre United.
From their first 11 matches, FK Liepaja have collected 12 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 10:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Gueye (2 goals), D. Patijcuks (2 goals), I. Patrikejevs (2 goals), with creative support from A. Korobenko (1 assists), A. Ogunniyi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ogre United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 3 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 9:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Cudars (4 goals), E. Evelons (1 goals), K. Johnson (1 goals), with creative support from M. Kalnins (1 assists), D. Vejkrigers (1 assists), F. Machado (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 2 times, Ogre United won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Lineups
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Liepaja
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
Paide
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 38:11 | 27 | 43 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 39 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 32:20 | 12 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Home
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
?
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:30 | -18 | 15 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 13 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10:26 | -16 | 13 |
?
|
|
| 10 |
Ogre United
Away
|
16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13:38 | -25 | 4 |
?
|