FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FK Liepaja
42 matches
BFC Daugavpils
37 matches
| FK Liepaja | Statistic | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 12 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 17 | Losses | 17 |
| 62 | Goals For | 41 |
| 64 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0.6 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 2.4 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0.9 | Corners | 0 |
| 8.2% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and BFC Daugavpils's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Liepaja expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and BFC Daugavpils in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward BFC Daugavpils having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors BFC Daugavpils.
Placed 4 with 42 points from 30 outings, FK Liepaja continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 41:43 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
BFC Daugavpils come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 38 points from 29 matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 34:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 7 times, BFC Daugavpils won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:22 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 68:20 | 48 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 84:30 | 54 | 67 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 18 | 57 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Home
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 42 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 5 |
BFC Daugavpils
Away
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 35 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:48 | -16 | 32 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20:51 | -31 | 25 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 29:75 | -46 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
L
|