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LATVIA › VIRSLIGA
12.10.2026 15:00
Daugavas stadions
FK Liepaja
Match Timeline
Auda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
38'
E. Oloko · Assist: A. Ogunniyi
FK Liepaja
🔄
48'
B. Diedhiou ↔ J. Gerold
Auda
⚽
54'
A. Appiah
Auda
🔄
67'
E. Bongemba ↔ W. Fofana
Auda
🟨
69'
B. Straalman
FK Liepaja
⚽
77'
E. Oloko · Assist: D. Patijcuks
FK Liepaja
⚽
80'
O. Rubenis · Assist: J. Gerold
Auda
🔄
83'
A. Korobenko ↔ K. Iljins
FK Liepaja
🟨
84'
R. Kragliks
Auda
🔄
86'
A. Appiah ↔ M. Fofana
Auda
🔄
86'
H. Ibrahim ↔ J. Minins
Auda
🔄
86'
O. Rubenis ↔ A. Ogunji
Auda
🔄
88'
D. Patijcuks ↔ B. Melnis
FK Liepaja
⚽
90+2'
J. Gerold · Assist: W. Fofana
Auda
🟨
90+5'
E. Daskevics
Auda

FK Liepaja vs Auda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.86
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.4%
2.86 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FK Liepaja Win 41.1%
Draw 16.5%
Auda Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Liepaja1.28
Auda1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
WWDLW
62 GF / 64 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
59 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
25
BTTS Yes
19
26
Over 2.5
18
3
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 43 matches
Auda Auda 39 matches
FK Liepaja Statistic Auda
18 Wins 22
8 Draws 9
17 Losses 8
62 Goals For 59
64 Goals Against 41
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
25 BTTS Yes 19
34 Over 1.5 28
26 Over 2.5 18
15 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 16
13 Failed To Score 6
3 Shots On Goal 0
12 Total Shots 0
4.5 Corners 0.25
41% Ball Possession 18.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Auda's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Auda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 61 points while FK Liepaja sit 4 on 43, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Liepaja expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Auda in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Auda having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auda. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FK Liepaja Analysis

FK Liepaja come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 43 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, while the 41:43 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Auda Analysis

Auda come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 61 points from 31 matches. Their overall return of 18 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 49:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 4 times, Auda won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: FK Liepaja 4-2-3-1 / Auda 4-3-3
H2H summary: FK Liepaja wins 4, draws 4, Auda wins 7

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 24 5 2 75:24 51 77
W D W D W
2 32 23 7 2 88:30 58 76
W W W D D
3
Auda Away
31 18 7 6 49:30 19 61
D W D W D
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 32 11 9 12 37:36 1 42
W D L D L
6 31 11 5 15 31:41 -10 38
W L L W W
7 32 8 8 16 34:53 -19 32
L L D L W
8 32 5 11 16 22:54 -32 26
L D D L W
9 32 5 9 18 44:63 -19 24
L D L W L
10 32 4 6 22 31:78 -47 18
L W L D L