FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
9.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
6.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FK Crvena Zvezda
50 matches
Novi Pazar
36 matches
| FK Crvena Zvezda | Statistic | Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 14 |
| 118 | Goals For | 44 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 2.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 30 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 20 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 6.86 | Shots On Goal | 4.22 |
| 19 | Total Shots | 11.69 |
| 6.82 | Corners | 4.22 |
| 57.8% | Ball Possession | 43.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Novi Pazar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FK Crvena Zvezda come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. FK Crvena Zvezda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 75 points compared to Novi Pazar in 5 on 47, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Crvena Zvezda expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Novi Pazar in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Novi Pazar having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Operating from 1 place with 75 points from 30 games, FK Crvena Zvezda bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 24 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 87:23 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on A. Katai (24 goals), M. Ivanic (12 goals), V. Kostov (12 goals), with creative support from V. Kostov (8 assists), M. Arnautovic (8 assists), Bruno Duarte (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Novi Pazar sit 5 with 47 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats with a 38:37 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Stanisavljevic (8 goals), D. Camaj (6 goals), Dominic Sadi (5 goals), with creative support from I. Davidovic (4 assists), Nemanja Miletić (4 assists), D. Camaj (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda won 12 times, Novi Pazar won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 53:14 from FK Crvena Zvezda's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
Home
|
37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 100:31 | 69 | 86 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 2 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 66:35 | 31 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 72:45 | 27 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 50:37 | 13 | 59 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Novi Pazar
Away
|
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46:54 | -8 | 52 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 6 | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 49:47 | 2 | 49 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 45 |
D
D
L
L
D
|