SERBIA SUPER LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Rajko Mit
Referee: D. Matic
FK Crvena Zvezda
Match Timeline
Novi Pazar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Filip Bačkulja
Novi Pazar
🟨
24'
Ahmed Hadzimujovic
Novi Pazar
🟨
27'
Jovan Manev
Novi Pazar
🔄
46'
D. Owusu ↔ A. Katai
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
46'
R. Krunic ↔ M. Bajo
FK Crvena Zvezda
53'
M. Arnautovic · Assist: S. Erakovic
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
62'
M. Arnautovic ↔ Bruno Duarte
FK Crvena Zvezda
🟨
66'
Semir Alić
Novi Pazar
75'
V. Kotzebue
Novi Pazar
🔄
76'
V. Kostov ↔ D. Saric
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
76'
V. Kotzebue ↔ B. Omoregbe
Novi Pazar
🔄
76'
D. Camaj ↔ D. Johnson Agwom
Novi Pazar
VAR
77'
Vieiri Kotzebue
Novi Pazar
🟨
90+5'
Veljko Mirosavic
Novi Pazar
🟨
90+4'
Željko Samčović
Novi Pazar
🔄
90+5'
D. Sadi ↔ M. Petkovic
Novi Pazar
🔄
90+1'
I. Davidovic ↔ S. Togbe
Novi Pazar
90'
D. Johnson Agwom · Assist: D. Sadi
Novi Pazar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
6.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FK Crvena Zvezda Win 87.1%
Draw 0%
Novi Pazar Win 12.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Crvena Zvezda2
Novi Pazar1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
WWDLW
118 GF / 40 GA
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
WLDWL
44 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
2.36
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
26
BTTS Yes
19
30
Over 2.5
17
6.86
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 50 matches
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 36 matches
FK Crvena Zvezda Statistic Novi Pazar
35 Wins 13
8 Draws 9
7 Losses 14
118 Goals For 44
40 Goals Against 53
2.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
26 BTTS Yes 19
38 Over 1.5 28
30 Over 2.5 17
18 Over 3.5 10
20 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 8
6.86 Shots On Goal 4.22
19 Total Shots 11.69
6.82 Corners 4.22
57.8% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Novi Pazar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FK Crvena Zvezda come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. FK Crvena Zvezda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 75 points compared to Novi Pazar in 5 on 47, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Crvena Zvezda expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Novi Pazar in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Novi Pazar having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

FK Crvena Zvezda Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 75 points from 30 games, FK Crvena Zvezda bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 24 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 87:23 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on A. Katai (24 goals), M. Ivanic (12 goals), V. Kostov (12 goals), with creative support from V. Kostov (8 assists), M. Arnautovic (8 assists), Bruno Duarte (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Novi Pazar Analysis

Novi Pazar sit 5 with 47 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats with a 38:37 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Stanisavljevic (8 goals), D. Camaj (6 goals), Dominic Sadi (5 goals), with creative support from I. Davidovic (4 assists), Nemanja Miletić (4 assists), D. Camaj (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda won 12 times, Novi Pazar won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 56:14 from FK Crvena Zvezda's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FK Crvena Zvezda 4-4-2 / Novi Pazar 5-4-1
H2H summary: FK Crvena Zvezda wins 12, draws 2, Novi Pazar wins 1
Stats
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 22
3 Offsides 1
80% Ball Possession 20%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
720 Total passes 172
638 Passes accurate 106
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda
Formation
Novi Pazar
Matheus
Matheus
Seol Young-Woo
Seol Young-Woo
F. Tebo Uchenna
F. Tebo Uchenna
S. Erakovic
🎯
S. Erakovic
A. Avdic
A. Avdic
R. Krunic
R. Krunic
T. Handel
T. Handel
D. Owusu
D. Owusu
V. Kostov
V. Kostov
V. Lucic
V. Lucic
M. Arnautovic
M. Arnautovic
Z. Samcovic
Z. Samcovic
V. Mirosavic
V. Mirosavic
A. Hadzimujovic
A. Hadzimujovic
J. Manev
J. Manev
F. Backulja
F. Backulja
N. Miletic
N. Miletic
D. Sadi
🎯
D. Sadi
S. Alic
S. Alic
I. Davidovic
I. Davidovic
D. Camaj
D. Camaj
V. Kotzebue
V. Kotzebue
FK Crvena Zvezda 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Matheus
G
66
Seol Young-Woo
D
30
F. Tebo Uchenna
D
25
S. Erakovic
🎯 53'
D
71
A. Avdic
D
33
R. Krunic
↓ 46'
M
20
T. Handel
M
35
D. Owusu
↓ 46'
M
22
V. Kostov
↓ 76'
M
37
V. Lucic
M
89
M. Arnautovic
⚽ 53' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
18
O. Glazer
G
5
Rodrigo
D
17
Bruno Duarte
↑ 62'
F
10
A. Katai
↑ 46'
M
23
N. Tiknizyan
D
24
N. Stankovic
M
42
J. Enem
F
6
M. Bajo
↑ 46'
M
45
S. Gudelj
D
91
V. Subotic
F
55
D. Saric
↑ 76'
M
Novi Pazar 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
Z. Samcovic
🟨 90+4'
G
20
V. Mirosavic
🟨 90+5'
D
4
A. Hadzimujovic
🟨 24'
D
29
J. Manev
🟨 27'
D
15
F. Backulja
🟨 23'
D
3
N. Miletic
D
30
D. Sadi
🎯 90' ↓ 90+5'
M
14
S. Alic
🟨 66'
M
24
I. Davidovic
↓ 90+1'
M
10
D. Camaj
↓ 76'
M
9
V. Kotzebue
⚽ 75' ↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
12
M. Prekovic
G
11
A. Rusevic
F
21
M. Petkovic
↑ 90+5'
M
31
Z. Alilovic
M
8
A. Abdullahi
M
28
L. Bijelovic
F
5
E. Bruncevic
D
7
B. Omoregbe
↑ 76'
F
16
S. Togbe
↑ 90+1'
M
13
S. Nwulu
M
26
D. Johnson Agwom
⚽ 90' ↑ 76'
F
Last matches: FK Crvena Zvezda
21.07.26
UEF
FK Crvena Zvezda
Larne
4
0
W
17.07.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Macva
5
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
FK Crvena Zvezda
Zenit
1
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
FK Crvena Zvezda
FC BW Linz
2
2
D
29.06.26
Fri
FK Crvena Zvezda
Slovan Bratislava
1
1
D
25.06.26
Fri
FK Crvena Zvezda
SKU Amstetten
2
1
W
22.05.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
OFK Beograd
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnik Surdulica
0
0
D
04.05.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Cukaricki
2
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Partizan
3
0
W
22.04.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Železničar Pančevo
2
2
D
18.04.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
4
1
W
09.04.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
3
2
W
05.04.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnik Surdulica
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnicki NIS
2
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
IMT Novi Beograd
2
1
W
08.03.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Napredak
4
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnicki 1923
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Partizan
3
0
W
Last matches: Novi Pazar
18.07.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnicki 1923
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Akhmat
1
1
D
01.07.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Macva
1
2
L
28.06.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Mladost Lucani
1
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Vojvodina
0
3
L
17.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Železničar Pančevo
2
2
D
02.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
1
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
2
2
D
22.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
0
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
1
5
L
09.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
2
3
L
04.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Železničar Pančevo
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Javor
0
0
D
15.03.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
1
1
D
09.03.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Mladost Lucani
2
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
TSC Backa Topola
2
0
W
21.02.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Vojvodina
3
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
2
1
W
07.02.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
5
L
H2H: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar
09.05.26
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
1
2
L
05.03.26
H2H
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
2
W
07.02.26
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
0
W
31.08.25
H2H
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
5
W
17.05.25
H2H
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
3
3
D
02.04.25
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
2
1
W
15.12.24
H2H
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
7
W
10.08.24
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
4
1
W
17.02.24
H2H
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
3
W
02.09.23
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
2
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
2
2
D
12.03.23
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
1
W
11.09.22
H2H
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
2
W
11.05.22
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
8
0
W
06.03.22
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
0
W
Last matches: FK Crvena Zvezda
17.07.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Macva
5
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
FK Crvena Zvezda
FC BW Linz
2
2
D
29.06.26
Fri
FK Crvena Zvezda
Slovan Bratislava
1
1
D
22.05.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
OFK Beograd
1
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Partizan
3
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
4
1
W
09.04.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
3
2
W
21.03.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnicki NIS
2
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Napredak
4
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Partizan
3
0
W
07.02.26
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
FK Crvena Zvezda
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
11.01.26
Fri
FK Crvena Zvezda
Debreceni VSC
3
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
FK Crvena Zvezda
FC Aarau
4
1
W
06.01.26
Fri
FK Crvena Zvezda
Waldhof Mannheim
2
0
W
20.12.25
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Mladost Lucani
4
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
0
1
L
04.12.25
Sup
FK Crvena Zvezda
Cukaricki
3
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
FK Crvena Zvezda
FCSB
1
0
W
H2H at home: FK Crvena Zvezda
09.05.26
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
1
2
L
07.02.26
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
0
W
02.04.25
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
2
1
W
10.08.24
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
4
1
W
02.09.23
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
2
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
2
2
D
12.03.23
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
1
W
11.05.22
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
8
0
W
06.03.22
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
0
W
Last matches: Novi Pazar
01.07.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Macva
1
2
L
28.06.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Mladost Lucani
1
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Vojvodina
0
3
L
02.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
1
2
L
22.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Železničar Pančevo
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Javor
0
0
D
09.03.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Mladost Lucani
2
0
W
21.02.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Vojvodina
3
0
W
07.02.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
5
L
21.12.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
IMT Novi Beograd
3
2
W
23.11.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnicki 1923
0
0
D
09.11.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
0
2
L
19.10.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
1
1
D
28.09.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
TSC Backa Topola
0
1
L
13.09.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
2
0
W
24.08.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1
1
D
10.08.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnicki NIS
3
2
W
31.07.25
UEF
Novi Pazar
Jagiellonia
1
3
L
H2H away: Novi Pazar
09.05.26
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
1
2
W
07.02.26
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
0
L
02.04.25
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
2
1
L
10.08.24
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
4
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
2
1
L
28.05.23
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
2
2
D
12.03.23
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
1
L
11.05.22
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
8
0
L
06.03.22
H2H
FK Crvena Zvezda
Novi Pazar
5
0
L

Standings

Superliga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 27 5 5 100:31 69 86
L D L W W
2 37 23 7 7 66:35 31 76
W W W W D
3 37 22 7 8 72:45 27 73
W D D W L
4 37 16 11 10 50:37 13 59
D D D W D
5 37 14 10 13 46:54 -8 52
L D W L D
6 37 12 13 12 49:47 2 49
W L D L D
7 37 11 13 13 44:48 -4 46
L D D L D
8 37 10 15 12 47:50 -3 45
D D L L D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification