SERBIA › SUPER LIGA
09.05.2026 16:00
Stadion Rajko Mit
Referee: D. Matic
FK Crvena Zvezda
Match Timeline
Novi Pazar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Filip Bačkulja
Novi Pazar
🟨
24'
Ahmed Hadzimujovic
Novi Pazar
🟨
27'
Jovan Manev
Novi Pazar
🔄
46'
D. Owusu ↔ A. Katai
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
46'
R. Krunic ↔ M. Bajo
FK Crvena Zvezda
⚽
53'
M. Arnautovic · Assist: S. Erakovic
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
62'
M. Arnautovic ↔ Bruno Duarte
FK Crvena Zvezda
🟨
66'
Semir Alić
Novi Pazar
⚽
75'
V. Kotzebue
Novi Pazar
🔄
76'
V. Kostov ↔ D. Saric
FK Crvena Zvezda
🔄
76'
V. Kotzebue ↔ B. Omoregbe
Novi Pazar
🔄
76'
D. Camaj ↔ D. Johnson Agwom
Novi Pazar
VAR
77'
Vieiri Kotzebue
Novi Pazar
🟨
90+5'
Veljko Mirosavic
Novi Pazar
🟨
90+4'
Željko Samčović
Novi Pazar
🔄
90+5'
D. Sadi ↔ M. Petkovic
Novi Pazar
🔄
90+1'
I. Davidovic ↔ S. Togbe
Novi Pazar
⚽
90'
D. Johnson Agwom · Assist: D. Sadi
Novi Pazar

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
6.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FK Crvena Zvezda Win 87.1%
Draw 0%
Novi Pazar Win 12.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Crvena Zvezda2
Novi Pazar1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
WWDLW
118 GF / 41 GA
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
WLDWL
44 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
2.36
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
26
BTTS Yes
19
30
Over 2.5
17
6.86
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 50 matches
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 36 matches
FK Crvena Zvezda Statistic Novi Pazar
35 Wins 13
8 Draws 9
7 Losses 14
118 Goals For 44
41 Goals Against 53
2.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
26 BTTS Yes 19
39 Over 1.5 28
30 Over 2.5 17
18 Over 3.5 10
20 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 8
6.86 Shots On Goal 4.22
19 Total Shots 11.69
6.82 Corners 4.22
57.8% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Novi Pazar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FK Crvena Zvezda come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. FK Crvena Zvezda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 75 points compared to Novi Pazar in 5 on 47, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Crvena Zvezda expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Novi Pazar in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Novi Pazar having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

FK Crvena Zvezda Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 75 points from 30 games, FK Crvena Zvezda bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 24 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 87:23 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on A. Katai (24 goals), M. Ivanic (12 goals), V. Kostov (12 goals), with creative support from V. Kostov (8 assists), M. Arnautovic (8 assists), Bruno Duarte (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Novi Pazar Analysis

Novi Pazar sit 5 with 47 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats with a 38:37 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Stanisavljevic (8 goals), D. Camaj (6 goals), Dominic Sadi (5 goals), with creative support from I. Davidovic (4 assists), Nemanja Miletić (4 assists), D. Camaj (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda won 12 times, Novi Pazar won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 53:14 from FK Crvena Zvezda's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FK Crvena Zvezda 4-4-2 / Novi Pazar 5-4-1
H2H summary: FK Crvena Zvezda wins 12, draws 2, Novi Pazar wins 1

Standings

Superliga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 27 5 5 100:31 69 86
L D L W W
2 37 23 7 7 66:35 31 76
W W W W D
3 37 22 7 8 72:45 27 73
W D D W L
4 37 16 11 10 50:37 13 59
D D D W D
5 37 14 10 13 46:54 -8 52
L D W L D
6 37 12 13 12 49:47 2 49
W L D L D
7 37 11 13 13 44:48 -4 46
L D D L D
8 37 10 15 12 47:50 -3 45
D D L L D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification