ITALY SERIE A
08.03.2026 14:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Referee: L. Zufferli
Fiorentina
Match Timeline
Parma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
54'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↔ C. Ordonez
Parma
🟨
61'
Rolando Mandragora
Fiorentina
🔄
64'
R. Mandragora ↔ G. Fabbian
Fiorentina
🔄
72'
M. Pellegrino ↔ N. Elphege
Parma
🔄
72'
G. Strefezza ↔ G. Oristanio
Parma
🔄
81'
J. Harrison ↔ J. Fazzini
Fiorentina
🔄
82'
O. Sorensen ↔ N. Estevez
Parma
🔄
86'
C. Ndour ↔ M. Brescianini
Fiorentina
🔄
86'
M. Pongracic ↔ P. Comuzzo
Fiorentina
🟨
90'
Dodô
Fiorentina

Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Fiorentina Win 0%
Draw 0%
Parma Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fiorentina1.27
Parma1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WWDLW
50 GF / 56 GA
Parma Parma
WLDWL
25 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
23
BTTS Yes
13
25
Over 2.5
11
4.05
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fiorentina Fiorentina 38 matches
Parma Parma 30 matches
Fiorentina Statistic Parma
11 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
18 Losses 11
50 Goals For 25
56 Goals Against 36
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
23 BTTS Yes 13
30 Over 1.5 19
25 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 12
4.05 Shots On Goal 3.3
13.79 Total Shots 11.87
4.68 Corners 4.03
51.8% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina won 2 times, Parma won 4 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Fiorentina's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Fiorentina 4-1-4-1 / Parma 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Fiorentina wins 2, draws 9, Parma wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma Away
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B