BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: W. Echevarria
Figueirense
Match Timeline
Paysandu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
Juninho
Paysandu
🟨
23'
Pedro Henrique
Paysandu
25'
Lucas Alves
Figueirense
🟨
32'
Jose Carlos
Figueirense
🟨
34'
Lucas Dias
Figueirense
🟨
44'
Pedro Henrique
Paysandu
🟥
44'
Pedro Henrique
Paysandu
🟨
51'
Breno
Figueirense
🟨
54'
Gabriel Mesquita
Paysandu
🔄
54'
Breno ↔ Dudu
Figueirense
🔄
54'
Matheus Vargas ↔ Brian Macapa
Paysandu
🟨
58'
Raynan
Figueirense
🟨
67'
Arthur Henrique
Figueirense
🔄
67'
Thalyson ↔ Edilson
Paysandu
🔄
67'
Juninho ↔ Kleiton Pego
Paysandu
🔄
68'
Matheus Capixaba ↔ Thayllon
Paysandu
70'
Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🟨
73'
Brian Macapa
Paysandu
🟨
77'
Luciano Taboca
Paysandu
🔄
77'
Arthur Henrique ↔ Ryan Carlos
Figueirense
🔄
77'
Raynan ↔ Renan Areias
Figueirense
🟨
79'
Luciano Taboca
Paysandu
🟥
79'
Luciano Taboca
Paysandu
🔄
82'
Libonati ↔ F. Bonifazi
Paysandu
🔄
85'
Jose Carlos ↔ Arthur Martins
Figueirense
🔄
85'
Lucas Alves ↔ Mailson
Figueirense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 36.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 41.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
36.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
41.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Figueirense Win 29.7%
Draw 4.8%
Paysandu Win 65.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Figueirense0.9
Paysandu1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Figueirense Figueirense
WWDLW
6 GF / 12 GA
Paysandu Paysandu
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
4
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Figueirense Figueirense 8 matches
Paysandu Paysandu 8 matches
Figueirense Statistic Paysandu
2 Wins 5
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 1
6 Goals For 15
12 Goals Against 9
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
4 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Paysandu's more proactive style and Figueirense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paysandu having the stronger overall control. Paysandu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 17 points while Figueirense sit 17 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Paysandu look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Paysandu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Figueirense Analysis

Figueirense sit 17 with 8 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Igor Bolt (2 goals), Arthur Martins (1 goals), Breno (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Paysandu Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 17 points from 8 games, Paysandu bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 15:9, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Juninho (4 goals), Kleiton Pego (4 goals), Italo Carvalho (3 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Figueirense won 6 times, Paysandu won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Figueirense's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Figueirense wins 6, draws 1, Paysandu wins 4

Lineups

Figueirense
Formation
Paysandu
Igo Gabriel
Igo Gabriel
Leo Maia
Leo Maia
Lucas Dias
Lucas Dias
Leonan Santos
Leonan Santos
Arthur Henrique
Arthur Henrique
Breno
Breno
Jean Mangabeira
Jean Mangabeira
Raynan
Raynan
Jose Carlos
Jose Carlos
Lucas Alves
Lucas Alves
Emerson Galego
Emerson Galego
Gabriel Mesquita
Gabriel Mesquita
Matheus Capixaba
Matheus Capixaba
larley Brito
larley Brito
Bruno Bispo
Bruno Bispo
Luciano Taboca
Luciano Taboca
Libonati
Libonati
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Matheus Vargas
Matheus Vargas
Thalyson
Thalyson
Lucas Cardoso
Lucas Cardoso
Juninho
Juninho
Figueirense 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
52
Igo Gabriel
2
Leo Maia
37
Lucas Dias
🟨 34'
3
Leonan Santos
6
Arthur Henrique
↓ 77' 🟨 67'
14
Breno
↓ 54' 🟨 51'
30
Jean Mangabeira
7
Raynan
↓ 77' 🟨 58'
82
Jose Carlos
↓ 85' 🟨 32'
9
Lucas Alves
⚽ 25' ↓ 85'
99
Emerson Galego
⚽ 70'
Substitutes
12
Fabricio Santana
22
Vitor Ricardo
25
Jhonnathan
66
Ryan Carlos
↑ 77'
5
Renan Areias
↑ 77'
35
Flavio
77
Joao Choco
8
Dudu
↑ 54'
11
Arthur Martins
↑ 85'
17
Mailson
↑ 85'
20
Guilherme Vieira
91
Hyuri
Paysandu 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Gabriel Mesquita
🟨 54'
20
Matheus Capixaba
↓ 68'
4
larley Brito
14
Bruno Bispo
77
Luciano Taboca
🟨 77' 🟨 79' 🟥 79'
26
Libonati
↓ 82'
39
Pedro Henrique
🟨 23' 🟨 44' 🟥 44'
96
Matheus Vargas
↓ 54'
30
Thalyson
↓ 67'
99
Lucas Cardoso
98
Juninho
⚽ 17' ↓ 67'
Substitutes
41
Marcao
2
Edilson
↑ 67'
6
Luccao
9
Italo Carvalho
15
Castro
19
Thayllon
↑ 68'
23
Brian Macapa
↑ 54' 🟨 73'
31
F. Bonifazi
↑ 82'
75
Kleiton Pego
↑ 67'
Last matches: Figueirense
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
Last matches: Paysandu
12.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Guarani Campinas
3
2
W
05.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Maranhão
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Caxias
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Anápolis
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Botafogo PB
4
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
AO Itabaiana
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Barra
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Brusque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Volta Redonda
1
0
W
H2H: Figueirense vs Paysandu
31.05.26
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
08.05.23
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
0
W
11.09.22
H2H
Paysandu
Figueirense
1
0
L
03.09.22
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
25.07.22
H2H
Paysandu
Figueirense
1
1
D
13.11.18
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
3
L
28.07.18
H2H
Paysandu
Figueirense
2
0
L
24.11.17
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
1
0
W
05.08.17
H2H
Paysandu
Figueirense
0
1
W
16.10.13
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
3
2
W
31.07.13
H2H
Paysandu
Figueirense
2
1
L
Last matches: Figueirense
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
H2H at home: Figueirense
31.05.26
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
08.05.23
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
0
W
03.09.22
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
13.11.18
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
3
L
24.11.17
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
1
0
W
16.10.13
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
3
2
W
Last matches: Paysandu
05.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Maranhão
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Caxias
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
AO Itabaiana
4
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Volta Redonda
1
0
W
H2H away: Paysandu
31.05.26
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
L
08.05.23
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
0
L
03.09.22
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
L
13.11.18
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
3
W
24.11.17
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
1
0
L
16.10.13
H2H
Figueirense
Paysandu
3
2
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation