BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: E. R. de Almeida Andrade
Figueirense
Match Timeline
Guarani Campinas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
44'
Raphael
Guarani Campinas
🔄
45+1'
Lucca ↔ Rafael Donato
Guarani Campinas
🔄
46'
Isaque ↔ Kaua Jesus
Guarani Campinas
🔄
57'
Renan Areias ↔ Igor Bolt
Figueirense
🟨
62'
Leonan Santos
Figueirense
🟨
63'
Carlos Eduardo
Guarani Campinas
67'
Jose Carlos
Figueirense
🔄
74'
Carlos Eduardo ↔ Emerson Barbosa
Guarani Campinas
🔄
74'
Joao Paulo ↔ Herbert
Guarani Campinas
🔄
74'
Guilherme Cachoeira ↔ Guilherme Parede
Guarani Campinas
🔄
75'
Raynan ↔ Flavio
Figueirense
🔄
75'
Lucas Alves ↔ Silvinho
Figueirense
🟨
77'
Emerson Barbosa
Guarani Campinas
83'
Ynaia
Guarani Campinas
🔄
84'
Jose Carlos ↔ Arthur Martins
Figueirense
🔄
84'
Emerson Galego ↔ Hyuri
Figueirense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.3%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-3
-
-
Probability Distribution
Figueirense Win 24.7%
Draw 14.1%
Guarani Campinas Win 61.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Figueirense0.91
Guarani Campinas1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Figueirense Figueirense
WWDLW
10 GF / 14 GA
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WLDWL
22 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
2
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Figueirense Figueirense 11 matches
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 11 matches
Figueirense Statistic Guarani Campinas
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
10 Goals For 22
14 Goals Against 10
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
6 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Guarani Campinas's more proactive style and Figueirense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guarani Campinas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Guarani Campinas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guarani Campinas. Guarani Campinas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Figueirense sit 11 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Figueirense Analysis

So far, Figueirense have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 15 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 10:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Igor Bolt (3 goals), Lucas Alves (2 goals), Arthur Martins (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 21 points from 10 games, Guarani Campinas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 22:8 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Hebert (4 goals), Guilherme Cachoeira (3 goals), Joao Paulo (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Figueirense won 2 times, Guarani Campinas won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Figueirense's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
H2H summary: Figueirense wins 2, draws 6, Guarani Campinas wins 2

Lineups

Figueirense
Formation
Guarani Campinas
Igo Gabriel
Igo Gabriel
Leo Maia
Leo Maia
Lucas Dias
Lucas Dias
Leonan Santos
Leonan Santos
Arthur Henrique
Arthur Henrique
Renan Areias
Renan Areias
Jean Mangabeira
Jean Mangabeira
Raynan
Raynan
Jose Carlos
Jose Carlos
Lucas Alves
Lucas Alves
Emerson Galego
Emerson Galego
Caique Franca
Caique Franca
Ynaia
Ynaia
Mauricio Antonio
Mauricio Antonio
Raphael
Raphael
Renan Castro
Renan Castro
Willian Farias
Willian Farias
Carlos Eduardo
Carlos Eduardo
Isaque
Isaque
Joao Paulo
Joao Paulo
Guilherme Cachoeira
Guilherme Cachoeira
Lucca
Lucca
Figueirense 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
52
Igo Gabriel
2
Leo Maia
37
Lucas Dias
3
Leonan Santos
🟨 62'
6
Arthur Henrique
5
Renan Areias
↓ 57'
30
Jean Mangabeira
7
Raynan
↓ 75'
82
Jose Carlos
⚽ 67' ↓ 84'
9
Lucas Alves
↓ 75'
99
Emerson Galego
↓ 84'
Substitutes
12
Fabricio Santana
22
Vitor Ricardo
25
Jhonnathan
66
Ryan Carlos
28
Rafinha Potiguar
35
Flavio
↑ 75'
77
Choco
11
Arthur Martins
↑ 84'
20
Guilherme Vieira
70
Igor Bolt
↑ 57'
88
Silvinho
↑ 75'
91
Hyuri
↑ 84'
Guarani Campinas 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Caique Franca
30
Ynaia
⚽ 83'
2
Mauricio Antonio
4
Raphael
🟥 44'
26
Renan Castro
3
Willian Farias
15
Carlos Eduardo
↓ 74' 🟨 63'
21
Isaque
↓ 46'
10
Joao Paulo
↓ 74'
11
Guilherme Cachoeira
↓ 74'
9
Lucca
↓ 45+1'
Substitutes
70
Mateus Claus
5
Rafael Donato
↑ 45+1'
22
Rian
6
Emerson Barbosa
↑ 74' 🟨 77'
61
Ralf
66
Kaua Jesus
↑ 46'
45
Rafael Freitas
27
Herbert
↑ 74'
77
Guilherme Parede
↑ 74'
19
Kewen
Last matches: Figueirense
25.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
Last matches: Guarani Campinas
27.07.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Inter De Limeira
3
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Paysandu
2
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Floresta
0
0
D
22.06.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Confiança
0
2
L
13.06.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Caxias
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Amazonas
5
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Barra
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Ituano
1
3
L
11.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Maringá
5
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Ferroviária
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Maranhão
1
1
D
H2H: Figueirense vs Guarani Campinas
28.06.26
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
26.05.25
H2H
Guarani Campinas
Figueirense
0
0
D
20.12.20
H2H
Guarani Campinas
Figueirense
2
2
D
26.09.20
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
2
2
D
31.08.19
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
27.04.19
H2H
Guarani Campinas
Figueirense
0
0
D
06.11.18
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
0
0
D
18.07.18
H2H
Guarani Campinas
Figueirense
2
3
W
26.08.17
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
2
1
W
24.05.17
H2H
Guarani Campinas
Figueirense
2
0
L
Last matches: Figueirense
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
H2H at home: Figueirense
28.06.26
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
26.09.20
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
2
2
D
31.08.19
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
06.11.18
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
0
0
D
26.08.17
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
2
1
W
Last matches: Guarani Campinas
12.07.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Paysandu
2
3
L
22.06.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Confiança
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Barra
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Maringá
5
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Ferroviária
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Guarani Campinas
Maranhão
1
1
D
H2H away: Guarani Campinas
28.06.26
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
26.09.20
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
2
2
D
31.08.19
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
0
1
W
06.11.18
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
0
0
D
26.08.17
H2H
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
2
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 3 4 21:15 6 27
W L W L W
2 15 7 5 3 28:15 13 26
W L D D L
3 15 8 1 6 21:16 5 25
W W W W W
4 15 7 4 4 18:17 1 25
L W W D L
5 15 7 3 5 15:11 4 24
L W W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:21 2 23
L W L L W
7 15 6 5 4 28:25 3 23
D W W D D
8 15 6 5 4 15:12 3 23
D W L L W
9 15 6 3 6 18:19 -1 21
W L W D W
10 15 5 6 4 14:12 2 21
L D W D D
11 15 5 6 4 16:15 1 21
D D D W L
12 15 6 2 7 15:20 -5 20
W L L L D
13 15 5 5 5 13:18 -5 20
W D L D D
14 15 5 4 6 16:17 -1 19
L L L D D
15 15 5 3 7 11:19 -8 18
L D L W L
16 15 4 6 5 11:14 -3 18
D W L D L
17 15 4 5 6 13:18 -5 17
D W W W L
18 15 3 6 6 17:17 0 15
L L W L D
19 15 3 3 9 13:19 -6 12
W L L D W
20 15 3 3 9 9:15 -6 12
D L L D W
Play-offs
Relegation