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BRAZIL › SERIE C
28.06.2026 14:00
Referee: E. R. de Almeida Andrade
Figueirense
Match Timeline
Guarani Campinas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
44'
Raphael
Guarani Campinas
🔄
45+1'
Lucca ↔ Rafael Donato
Guarani Campinas
🔄
46'
Isaque ↔ Kaua Jesus
Guarani Campinas
🔄
57'
Renan Areias ↔ Igor Bolt
Figueirense
🟨
62'
Leonan Santos
Figueirense
🟨
63'
Carlos Eduardo
Guarani Campinas
⚽
67'
Jose Carlos
Figueirense
🔄
74'
Carlos Eduardo ↔ Emerson Barbosa
Guarani Campinas
🔄
74'
Joao Paulo ↔ Herbert
Guarani Campinas
🔄
74'
Guilherme Cachoeira ↔ Guilherme Parede
Guarani Campinas
🔄
75'
Raynan ↔ Flavio
Figueirense
🔄
75'
Lucas Alves ↔ Silvinho
Figueirense
🟨
77'
Emerson Barbosa
Guarani Campinas
⚽
83'
Ynaia
Guarani Campinas
🔄
84'
Jose Carlos ↔ Arthur Martins
Figueirense
🔄
84'
Emerson Galego ↔ Hyuri
Figueirense

Figueirense vs Guarani Campinas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
55%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Figueirense Win 24.7%
Draw 14.1%
Guarani Campinas Win 61.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Figueirense0.91
Guarani Campinas1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Figueirense Figueirense
WWDLW
10 GF / 14 GA
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WLDWL
22 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
2
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Figueirense Figueirense 11 matches
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 11 matches
Figueirense Statistic Guarani Campinas
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
10 Goals For 22
14 Goals Against 10
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
6 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Guarani Campinas's more proactive style and Figueirense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guarani Campinas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Guarani Campinas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guarani Campinas. Guarani Campinas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Figueirense sit 11 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Figueirense Analysis

So far, Figueirense have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 15 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 10:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Igor Bolt (3 goals), Lucas Alves (2 goals), Arthur Martins (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 21 points from 10 games, Guarani Campinas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 22:8 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Hebert (4 goals), Guilherme Cachoeira (3 goals), Joao Paulo (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Figueirense won 2 times, Guarani Campinas won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Figueirense's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
H2H summary: Figueirense wins 2, draws 6, Guarani Campinas wins 2

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W D D L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D D L D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L D W W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W D D W L
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D D L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D W D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
D W L D L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
L D D W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation