BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Nascimento
Figueirense
Match Timeline
AO Itabaiana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
28'
Everton Kanela
AO Itabaiana
🟨
44'
Lucas Bessa
AO Itabaiana
🔄
46'
Jean Mangabeira ↔ Joao Choco
Figueirense
🔄
57'
Leo Maia ↔ Vitor Ricardo
Figueirense
🔄
57'
Hyuri ↔ Lucas Alves
Figueirense
🔄
68'
Renan Areias ↔ Flavio
Figueirense
🔄
68'
Guilherme Vieira ↔ Arthur Martins
Figueirense
🔄
78'
Karl ↔ Fabricio Moura
AO Itabaiana
🔄
78'
Everton Kanela ↔ Luan Silva
AO Itabaiana
🔄
85'
Rodrigo Alves ↔ Renatinho
AO Itabaiana
🔄
85'
Leilson ↔ Isaque
AO Itabaiana
🔄
85'
Lucas Bessa ↔ Caio Felipe
AO Itabaiana

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Figueirense Win 53.4%
Draw 37.3%
AO Itabaiana Win 9.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Figueirense1.4
AO Itabaiana1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Figueirense Figueirense
WWDLW
6 GF / 11 GA
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana
WLDWL
5 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Figueirense Figueirense 6 matches
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 6 matches
Figueirense Statistic AO Itabaiana
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
6 Goals For 5
11 Goals Against 12
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 2
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AO Itabaiana. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AO Itabaiana having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Figueirense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 7 points compared to AO Itabaiana in 20 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Figueirense Analysis

Figueirense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Igor Bolt (2 goals), Arthur Martins (1 goals), Breno (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

AO Itabaiana Analysis

AO Itabaiana approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 2 points from 6 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Everton Kanela (2 goals), Isaque (1 goals), Karl (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Figueirense won 0 times, AO Itabaiana won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Figueirense's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.7%)
H2H summary: Figueirense wins 0, draws 1, AO Itabaiana wins 1

Lineups

Figueirense
Formation
AO Itabaiana
Igo Gabriel
Igo Gabriel
Leo Maia
Leo Maia
Lucas Dias
Lucas Dias
Leonan Santos
Leonan Santos
Ryan Carlos
Ryan Carlos
Renan Areias
Renan Areias
Jean Mangabeira
Jean Mangabeira
Raynan
Raynan
Igor Bolt
Igor Bolt
Guilherme Vieira
Guilherme Vieira
Hyuri
Hyuri
Leo Souza
Leo Souza
Ricardo Cerqueira
Ricardo Cerqueira
Betao
Betao
Ligger
Ligger
Gustavo Crecci
Gustavo Crecci
Tarcisio
Tarcisio
Lucas Bessa
Lucas Bessa
Karl
Karl
Leilson
Leilson
Everton Kanela
Everton Kanela
Rodrigo Alves
Rodrigo Alves
Figueirense 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
52
Igo Gabriel
2
Leo Maia
↓ 57'
37
Lucas Dias
3
Leonan Santos
66
Ryan Carlos
5
Renan Areias
↓ 68'
30
Jean Mangabeira
↓ 46'
7
Raynan
70
Igor Bolt
20
Guilherme Vieira
↓ 68'
91
Hyuri
↓ 57'
Substitutes
12
Fabricio Santana
22
Vitor Ricardo
↑ 57'
25
Jhonnathan
27
Felipe Santiago
14
Breno
28
Rafinha Potiguar
35
Flavio
↑ 68'
77
Joao Choco
↑ 46'
9
Lucas Alves
↑ 57'
11
Arthur Martins
↑ 68'
17
Mailson
82
Jose Carlos
AO Itabaiana 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Leo Souza
2
Ricardo Cerqueira
3
Betao
4
Ligger
5
Gustavo Crecci
6
Tarcisio
23
Lucas Bessa
↓ 85' 🟨 44'
8
Karl
↓ 78'
7
Leilson
↓ 85'
9
Everton Kanela
⚽ 28' ↓ 78'
10
Rodrigo Alves
↓ 85'
Substitutes
12
Geaze
11
Renatinho
↑ 85'
13
Lucao
14
Gustavo Cintra
15
Isaque
↑ 85'
16
Tito
17
Fabricio Moura
↑ 78'
18
Pedro Igor
19
Luan Silva
↑ 78'
20
Cleiton
21
Caio Felipe
↑ 85'
Last matches: Figueirense
23.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Caxias
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ferroviária
2
2
D
25.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
23.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maranhão
1
4
L
16.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Barra
0
1
L
09.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Caxias
0
2
L
25.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Brusque
1
0
W
07.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Amazonas
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ferroviária
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Anápolis
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ituano
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Floresta
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maringá
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Paysandu
1
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ypiranga-RS
1
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H: Figueirense vs AO Itabaiana
16.05.26
H2H
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
12.05.25
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Figueirense
1
1
D
Last matches: Figueirense
08.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ferroviária
2
2
D
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
H2H at home: Figueirense
16.05.26
H2H
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
23.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maranhão
1
4
L
16.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Barra
0
1
L
25.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
1
1
D
07.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Amazonas
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Anápolis
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maringá
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H away: AO Itabaiana
16.05.26
H2H
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation