ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
30.08.2026 17:00
Kaplakriki
Referee: H. M. Jonasson
FH hafnarfjordur
Match Timeline
Keflavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
S. Ljubicic
Keflavik
27'
G. Gislason
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
34'
B. Jonsson ↔ A. Gudmundsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🟨
34'
G. Gislason
FH hafnarfjordur
🟨
42'
S. Magnusson
Keflavik
52'
K. Halldorsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🟨
57'
A. Birgisson
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
59'
A. Birgisson ↔ A. Gudjohnsen
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
59'
G. Gislason ↔ G. Tryggvason
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
66'
S. Magnusson ↔ M. Simicic
Keflavik
🔄
66'
A. Johannesson ↔ E. Bwomono
Keflavik
🔄
66'
A. Conteh ↔ D. Valsson
Keflavik
🔄
81'
B. Baxter ↔ M. Mudrazija
Keflavik

FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.6%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.6%
1.40
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.42
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
7.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
FH hafnarfjordur Win 41.3%
Draw 20.3%
Keflavik Win 38.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FH hafnarfjordur1.42
Keflavik1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur
WWDLW
26 GF / 38 GA
Keflavik Keflavik
WLDWL
31 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
14
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur 21 matches
Keflavik Keflavik 20 matches
FH hafnarfjordur Statistic Keflavik
3 Wins 8
10 Draws 4
8 Losses 8
26 Goals For 31
38 Goals Against 34
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
14 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Keflavik having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Keflavik. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

FH hafnarfjordur Analysis

From their first 19 matches, FH hafnarfjordur have collected 17 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 24:36 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Keflavik Analysis

So far, Keflavik have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 25 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 30:34 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FH hafnarfjordur won 8 times, Keflavik won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:20 from FH hafnarfjordur's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
H2H summary: FH hafnarfjordur wins 8, draws 3, Keflavik wins 3

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs