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17.10.2026 11:00
Project Liv Arena
Referee: M. Al-Emara
FF Jaro
Match Timeline
Mariehamn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Tuomas Koivisto
Mariehamn
⚽
64'
Ville Vuorinen · Assist: Fabian Ostigard Ness
FF Jaro
🔄
69'
Viktor Widlund ↔ Sebastian Dahlström
Mariehamn
🔄
69'
Adam Larsson ↔ Jelle van der Heyden
Mariehamn
🔄
75'
Kaius Hardén ↔ Adam Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
⚽
79'
Gergő Kocsis
Mariehamn
🔄
84'
Ville Vuorinen ↔ Joni Remesaho
FF Jaro
🔄
84'
Jonathan Lawson ↔ Linus Zetterstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
84'
Jim Myrevik ↔ Valde Löfs
FF Jaro

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FF Jaro Win 41%
Draw 33.2%
Mariehamn Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FF Jaro1.24
Mariehamn1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
FF Jaro FF Jaro
W D D L L
3 GF / 6 GA
Mariehamn Mariehamn
D L W L W
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
16
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
13
2
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FF Jaro FF Jaro 31 matches
Mariehamn Mariehamn 30 matches
FF Jaro Statistic Mariehamn
5 Wins 5
9 Draws 8
17 Losses 17
27 Goals For 26
56 Goals Against 54
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
16 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 26
15 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 3
12 Failed To Score 13
2 Shots On Goal 1.5
5.88 Total Shots 5.15
2.46 Corners 2.42
24.3% Ball Possession 25.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mariehamn. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FF Jaro expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Mariehamn in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mariehamn having the stronger overall control. FF Jaro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 15 points from 22 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 18:44, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Sjögrell (4 goals), V. Vuorinen (1 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (3 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mariehamn Analysis

Mariehamn are currently 12 in the standings with 14 points from 22 matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 17:43 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Arvid Bergvik (2 goals), A. Stroud (1 goals), A. Huttunen (1 goals), with creative support from A. Stroud (1 assists), Y. Amankwah (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, FF Jaro won 2 times, Mariehamn won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from FF Jaro's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.3%)
Predicted formations: FF Jaro 4-4-2 / Mariehamn 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FF Jaro wins 2, draws 1, Mariehamn wins 2

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
D W L L W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W L W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D W W W D
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
L L L D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W W L W L
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W L D L W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L L D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W D W W W
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
L W W D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D W D
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D D L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs