FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
18.04.2026 13:00
Pietarsaaren
Referee: Antti Munukka, Finland
FF Jaro
Match Timeline
KuPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
8'
J. Brunell ↔ J. Myrevik
FF Jaro
⚽
40'
R. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
46'
B. Armah ↔ S. Savolainen
KuPS
🔄
58'
F. O. Ness ↔ V. Vuorinen
FF Jaro
🔄
59'
L. Zetterstrom ↔ L. Weckstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
61'
G. Engvall ↔ A. Heinonen
KuPS
🔄
68'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba ↔ S. Heiskanen
KuPS
🟨
77'
Valentín Gasc
KuPS
🔄
77'
H. Sjogrell ↔ K. Harden
FF Jaro
🔄
77'
R. Vikstrom ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
82'
T. Hamalainen ↔ K. Adams
KuPS
🔄
82'
V. R. Gasc ↔ S. Soumahoro
KuPS
⚽
90'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari · Assist: P. Pennanen
KuPS

FF Jaro vs KuPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FF Jaro Win 19.1%
Draw 5.7%
KuPS Win 75.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FF Jaro0.6
KuPS1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WWDLW
6 GF / 9 GA
KuPS KuPS
WLDWL
7 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.2
4
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
1
Shots on Goal
8.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FF Jaro FF Jaro 7 matches
KuPS KuPS 5 matches
FF Jaro Statistic KuPS
1 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
4 Losses 0
6 Goals For 7
9 Goals Against 1
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.2
4 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 1
1 Shots On Goal 8.5
4 Total Shots 19
0 Corners 6
28.5% Ball Possession 61%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by KuPS's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. KuPS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 6 points while FF Jaro sit 9 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FF Jaro expected to line up in 4-3-3 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KuPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FF Jaro Analysis

From their first 2 matches, FF Jaro have collected 1 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 0:1 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 6 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, while the 4:1 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (2 goals), B. Armah (1 goals), P. Pennanen (1 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (1 assists), S. Savolainen (1 assists), V. R. Gasc (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FF Jaro won 4 times, KuPS won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:27 from FF Jaro's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: FF Jaro 4-3-3 / KuPS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FF Jaro wins 4, draws 5, KuPS wins 6

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs