FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Project Liv Arena
Referee: M. Al-Emara
FF Jaro
Match Timeline
HJK Helsinki
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
F. O. Ness · Assist: O. Kass Kawo
FF Jaro
🔄
10'
M. Pedersen ↔ K. Harden
FF Jaro
17'
K. Harden · Assist: V. Vuorinen
FF Jaro
🟨
19'
Ville Vuorinen
FF Jaro
29'
A. Ring · Assist: T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
🟨
41'
Toivo Mero
HJK Helsinki
🔄
46'
A. Bjonback ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
46'
M. Bogicevic ↔ T. Cissokho
HJK Helsinki
🔄
46'
B. Lyons-Foster ↔ M. Ylitolva
HJK Helsinki
🔄
46'
T. Mero ↔ M. Borchers
HJK Helsinki
🔄
46'
L. Lappalainen ↔ L. Moller
HJK Helsinki
57'
V. Tikkanen · Assist: T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
🔄
59'
V. Vuorinen ↔ R. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
65'
M. Ylitolva
HJK Helsinki
69'
M. Borchers · Assist: L. Moller
HJK Helsinki
🔄
72'
J. Brunell ↔ A. Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
🔄
77'
T. Pukki ↔ M. Kirilov
HJK Helsinki
🟨
78'
Oliver Kass Kawo
FF Jaro
🟥
82'
Michael Ogungbaro
FF Jaro
84'
M. Borchers · Assist: M. Kirilov
HJK Helsinki
🟨
87'
Martin Kirilov
HJK Helsinki

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FF Jaro Win 34.2%
Draw 18.1%
HJK Helsinki Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FF Jaro0.96
HJK Helsinki1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WWDLW
14 GF / 25 GA
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WLDWL
20 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
7
1.3
Shots on Goal
1.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FF Jaro FF Jaro 15 matches
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 14 matches
FF Jaro Statistic HJK Helsinki
2 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
8 Losses 5
14 Goals For 20
25 Goals Against 14
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 2
1.3 Shots On Goal 1.9
3.4 Total Shots 5.5
1.3 Corners 2
18.7% Ball Possession 22.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by HJK Helsinki's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward HJK Helsinki. HJK Helsinki carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 15 points while FF Jaro sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FF Jaro expected to line up in 4-5-1 and HJK Helsinki in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HJK Helsinki having the stronger overall control.

FF Jaro Analysis

So far, FF Jaro have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 7 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 8:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on H. Sjogrell (3 goals), Rudi Vikstrom (2 goals), A. Bjonback (1 goals), with creative support from Michael Ogungbaro (1 assists), F. O. Ness (1 assists), J. Vikstrom (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

HJK Helsinki Analysis

Placed 4 with 15 points from 10 outings, HJK Helsinki continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 13:8 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by T. Pukki (3 goals), M. Borchers (2 goals), A. Cicale (1 goals), with creative support from D. Ezeh (2 assists), L. Lingman (2 assists), P. Mentu (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FF Jaro won 1 times, HJK Helsinki won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:37 from FF Jaro's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: FF Jaro 4-5-1 / HJK Helsinki 4-3-3
H2H summary: FF Jaro wins 1, draws 4, HJK Helsinki wins 10
Stats
FF Jaro FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 2
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
423 Total passes 541
339 Passes accurate 461
1.58 expected_goals 1.99
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FF Jaro
Formation
HJK Helsinki
S. Vits
S. Vits
J. Brunell
J. Brunell
M. Ogungbaro
M. Ogungbaro
E. Gunnarsson
E. Gunnarsson
A. Bjonback
A. Bjonback
J. Skau
J. Skau
O. Kass Kawo
🎯
O. Kass Kawo
F. O. Ness
F. O. Ness
H. Sjogrell
H. Sjogrell
M. Pedersen
M. Pedersen
V. Vuorinen
🎯
V. Vuorinen
M. Markovic
M. Markovic
B. Lyons-Foster
B. Lyons-Foster
M. Bogicevic
M. Bogicevic
V. Tikkanen
V. Tikkanen
L. Montano
L. Montano
L. Lingman
L. Lingman
J. Kallinen
J. Kallinen
L. Lappalainen
L. Lappalainen
A. Ring
A. Ring
T. Mero
T. Mero
T. Pukki
🎯
T. Pukki
FF Jaro 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
S. Vits
G
6
J. Brunell
↓ 72'
D
4
M. Ogungbaro
🟥 82'
D
3
E. Gunnarsson
D
5
A. Bjonback
↓ 46'
M
7
J. Skau
M
8
O. Kass Kawo
🎯 4' 🟨 78'
M
19
F. O. Ness
⚽ 4'
M
11
H. Sjogrell
M
26
M. Pedersen
↓ 10'
M
91
V. Vuorinen
🎯 17' ↓ 59' 🟨 19'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Snellman
G
22
K. Harden
⚽ 17' ↑ 10'
M
2
F. Kass
D
16
A. Vidjeskog
↑ 72'
M
17
L. Nyman
M
15
R. Vikstrom
↑ 59'
F
95
E. Mendy
M
24
V. Lofs
M
27
J. Vikstrom
↑ 46'
M
HJK Helsinki 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
44
M. Markovic
G
2
B. Lyons-Foster
↓ 46'
D
31
M. Bogicevic
↓ 46'
D
6
V. Tikkanen
⚽ 57'
D
14
L. Montano
D
10
L. Lingman
M
15
J. Kallinen
M
26
L. Lappalainen
↓ 46'
M
4
A. Ring
⚽ 29'
M
18
T. Mero
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
M
20
T. Pukki
🎯 29' 🎯 57' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Ost
G
3
T. Cissokho
↑ 46'
D
28
M. Ylitolva
⚽ 65' ↑ 46'
D
19
D. Ezeh
F
24
E. Levealahti
D
9
M. Borchers
⚽ 69' ⚽ 84' ↑ 46'
M
11
R. Hudd
M
22
L. Moller
🎯 69' ↑ 46'
M
17
M. Kirilov
🎯 84' ↑ 77' 🟨 87'
F
Last matches: FF Jaro
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
21.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
SJK
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
24.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
17.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
5
0
W
H2H: FF Jaro vs HJK Helsinki
13.06.26
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
02.07.25
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
2
3
W
11.05.25
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
13.09.15
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.06.15
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
4
0
L
03.05.15
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
3
0
L
31.08.14
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
4
L
08.06.14
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
0
2
L
06.04.14
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
1
0
L
01.09.13
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
5
L
24.06.13
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
0
0
D
05.05.13
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
3
L
05.04.13
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
2
1
L
14.09.12
H2H
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
0
0
D
28.06.12
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
Last matches: FF Jaro
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
H2H at home: FF Jaro
13.06.26
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
11.05.25
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
13.09.15
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
31.08.14
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
4
L
08.06.14
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
0
2
L
01.09.13
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
5
L
05.05.13
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
3
L
28.06.12
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
0
4
L
H2H away: HJK Helsinki
13.06.26
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
W
11.05.25
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
0
3
W
13.09.15
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
31.08.14
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
4
W
08.06.14
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
0
2
W
01.09.13
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
1
5
W
05.05.13
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
3
W
28.06.12
H2H
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 6 1 27:15 12 30
W W W D D
2 15 8 6 1 23:12 11 30
W D D D D
3 14 8 2 4 20:15 5 26
D L W D W
4 14 6 4 4 25:17 8 22
L W D W W
5 13 5 6 2 17:11 6 21
D W W D L
6 13 5 4 4 19:17 2 19
D D W W W
7 13 5 4 4 15:13 2 19
W D L L W
8 14 4 4 6 24:27 -3 16
D L W W L
9 13 3 4 6 15:15 0 13
D D L L W
10 13 2 5 6 15:21 -6 11
D D L W L
11 14 1 5 8 13:31 -18 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 4 9 6:25 -19 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)