FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Project Liv Arena
Referee: J. Hyytia
FF Jaro
Match Timeline
Gnistan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
S. Ylatupa · Assist: A. Akinyemi
Gnistan
🟨
31'
Marcelo Costa
Gnistan
🟨
33'
Roman Eremenko
Gnistan
51'
R. Vikstrom · Assist: O. Kass Kawo
FF Jaro
🟨
60'
Saku Ylätupa
Gnistan
🔄
62'
A. Akinyemi ↔ D. Perez
Gnistan
🟨
66'
Johan Brunell
FF Jaro
🟨
68'
Danny Pérez
Gnistan
🔄
75'
V. Vuorinen ↔ E. Mendy
FF Jaro
🔄
84'
H. Sjogrell ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
85'
S. Eremenko ↔ A. Jouhi
Gnistan
🔄
88'
R. Eremenko ↔ A. Atarah
Gnistan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.9%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FF Jaro Win 34.4%
Draw 19.1%
Gnistan Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FF Jaro1.15
Gnistan1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WWDLW
16 GF / 35 GA
Gnistan Gnistan
WLDWL
22 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.29
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
9
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
8
1.58
Shots on Goal
0.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FF Jaro FF Jaro 17 matches
Gnistan Gnistan 17 matches
FF Jaro Statistic Gnistan
2 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
10 Losses 8
16 Goals For 22
35 Goals Against 25
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
9 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 5
1.58 Shots On Goal 0.82
4.58 Total Shots 2.36
1.83 Corners 1.18
23.3% Ball Possession 14.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Gnistan's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FF Jaro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FF Jaro expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Gnistan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gnistan having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gnistan. Gnistan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 14 points while FF Jaro sit 11 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

FF Jaro Analysis

With 7 points from 11 games and a place of 11, FF Jaro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 10:22, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through H. Sjogrell (4 goals), Rudi Vikstrom (2 goals), A. Bjonback (1 goals), with creative support from F. O. Ness (1 assists), K. Harden (1 assists), Michael Ogungbaro (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gnistan Analysis

So far, Gnistan have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 14 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi (5 goals), Joakim Latonen (3 goals), Marcelo Costa (2 goals), with creative support from Joakim Latonen (3 assists), Roman Eremenko (3 assists), Edmund Arko-Mensah (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FF Jaro won 5 times, Gnistan won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from FF Jaro's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: FF Jaro 3-4-2-1 / Gnistan 4-4-2
H2H summary: FF Jaro wins 5, draws 8, Gnistan wins 2

Lineups

FF Jaro
Formation
Gnistan
S. Vits
S. Vits
A. Bjonback
A. Bjonback
J. Skau
J. Skau
J. Brunell
J. Brunell
F. O. Ness
F. O. Ness
V. Vuorinen
V. Vuorinen
O. Kass Kawo
🎯
O. Kass Kawo
A. Vidjeskog
A. Vidjeskog
K. Harden
K. Harden
H. Sjogrell
H. Sjogrell
R. Vikstrom
R. Vikstrom
A. Craninx
A. Craninx
R. Gnanou
R. Gnanou
A. Obileye
A. Obileye
Marcelo Costa
Marcelo Costa
O. Hannula
O. Hannula
G. Europaeus
G. Europaeus
S. Eremenko
S. Eremenko
J. Latonen
J. Latonen
S. Ylatupa
S. Ylatupa
A. Akinyemi
🎯
A. Akinyemi
R. Eremenko
R. Eremenko
FF Jaro 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
S. Vits
G
5
A. Bjonback
D
7
J. Skau
D
6
J. Brunell
🟨 66'
D
19
F. O. Ness
D
91
V. Vuorinen
↓ 75'
M
8
O. Kass Kawo
🎯 51'
M
16
A. Vidjeskog
M
22
K. Harden
M
11
H. Sjogrell
↓ 84'
F
15
R. Vikstrom
⚽ 51'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Snellman
G
2
F. Kass
D
3
E. Gunnarsson
D
17
L. Nyman
M
95
E. Mendy
↑ 75'
F
20
T. Soderstrom
D
24
V. Lofs
M
27
J. Vikstrom
↑ 84'
F
30
M. Najafi
F
Gnistan 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
A. Craninx
G
24
R. Gnanou
D
67
A. Obileye
D
4
Marcelo Costa
🟨 31'
F
27
O. Hannula
M
15
G. Europaeus
M
14
S. Eremenko
↓ 85'
M
10
J. Latonen
F
23
S. Ylatupa
⚽ 14' 🟨 60'
F
17
A. Akinyemi
🎯 14' ↓ 62'
F
26
R. Eremenko
↓ 88' 🟨 33'
M
Substitutes
22
Ramilson
G
40
J. Ojala
D
7
A. Atarah
↑ 88'
M
11
D. Perez
↑ 62' 🟨 68'
F
19
V. Hanninen
M
2
B. Dahlstrom
D
20
M. H. Bjurstrom
D
5
J. Freitas Von Hellens
31
A. Jouhi
↑ 85'
M
Last matches: FF Jaro
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
Last matches: Gnistan
04.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
0
1
L
27.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Mariehamn
3
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
W
23.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Ilves
0
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
W
09.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
05.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
Turku PS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
11.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
KuPS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
1
5
L
28.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
Kooteepee
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
PK-35
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
10.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
07.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
JäPS
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Gnistan
Ilves
0
1
L
H2H: FF Jaro vs Gnistan
23.06.26
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
16.05.26
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
L
31.08.25
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
2
W
24.05.25
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
19.07.23
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
12.08.22
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
2
2
D
12.06.22
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
2
L
10.10.21
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
0
W
07.08.21
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
0
1
W
06.06.21
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
06.09.20
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
05.07.20
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
2
W
21.10.17
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
12.08.17
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
0
W
Last matches: FF Jaro
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
H2H at home: FF Jaro
23.06.26
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
24.05.25
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
19.07.23
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
12.06.22
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
2
L
10.10.21
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
0
W
06.06.21
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
06.09.20
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
12.08.17
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
0
W
Last matches: Gnistan
04.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
0
1
L
13.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Mariehamn
3
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Ilves
0
2
L
09.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
Turku PS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
KuPS
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
Kooteepee
1
1
D
10.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
07.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
JäPS
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Gnistan
Ilves
0
1
L
H2H away: Gnistan
23.06.26
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
24.05.25
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
19.07.23
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
12.06.22
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
2
W
10.10.21
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
0
L
06.06.21
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
06.09.20
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
12.08.17
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
0
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 6 1 27:15 12 30
W W W D D
2 15 8 6 1 23:12 11 30
W D D D D
3 14 8 2 4 20:15 5 26
D L W D W
4 14 6 4 4 25:17 8 22
L W D W W
5 13 5 6 2 17:11 6 21
D W W D L
6 13 5 4 4 19:17 2 19
D D W W W
7 13 5 4 4 15:13 2 19
W D L L W
8 14 4 4 6 24:27 -3 16
D L W W L
9 13 3 4 6 15:15 0 13
D D L L W
10 13 2 5 6 15:21 -6 11
D D L W L
11 14 1 5 8 13:31 -18 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 4 9 6:25 -19 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)