FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
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Project Liv Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FF Jaro Win 47.6%
Draw 5.7%
AC Oulu Win 46.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FF Jaro1.08
AC Oulu1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WWDLW
24 GF / 46 GA
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WLDWL
26 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
14
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
8
2.05
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FF Jaro FF Jaro 24 matches
AC Oulu AC Oulu 21 matches
FF Jaro Statistic AC Oulu
4 Wins 10
7 Draws 4
13 Losses 7
24 Goals For 26
46 Goals Against 25
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
14 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 13
14 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 5
2.05 Shots On Goal 2
5.32 Total Shots 5.32
2.11 Corners 2.05
24.5% Ball Possession 20.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AC Oulu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. AC Oulu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 30 points while FF Jaro sit 11 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AC Oulu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro are currently 11 in the standings with 15 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 18:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

AC Oulu Analysis

With 30 points from 19 games and a place of 5, AC Oulu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 22:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Kallio (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FF Jaro won 5 times, AC Oulu won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:34 from FF Jaro's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: FF Jaro 4-3-3 / AC Oulu 4-3-3
H2H summary: FF Jaro wins 5, draws 1, AC Oulu wins 9
Last matches: FF Jaro
08.08.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
1
3
L
01.08.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
2
L
24.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
2
1
W
19.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
Last matches: AC Oulu
09.08.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
02.08.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
1
0
W
25.07.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
1
1
D
18.07.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
0
2
L
11.07.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
3
L
27.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
5
L
18.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
0
0
D
31.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
W
23.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
SJK
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
W
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
22.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
H2H: FF Jaro vs AC Oulu
31.05.26
H2H
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
L
15.04.26
H2H
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
1
2
W
28.03.26
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
07.02.26
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
6
L
14.09.25
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
02.08.25
H2H
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
0
1
W
18.06.25
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
4
0
L
11.01.25
H2H
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
1
L
25.09.20
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
0
W
01.08.20
H2H
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
L
15.02.20
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
05.10.19
H2H
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
4
1
L
24.07.19
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
4
3
W
09.06.19
H2H
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
0
0
D
Last matches: FF Jaro
08.08.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
1
3
L
24.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
2
1
W
19.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
H2H at home: FF Jaro
28.03.26
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
07.02.26
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
6
L
14.09.25
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
18.06.25
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
1
W
25.09.20
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
0
W
15.02.20
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
24.07.19
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
4
3
W
Last matches: AC Oulu
25.07.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
1
1
D
11.07.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Turku PS
0
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
5
L
13.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
0
0
D
23.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
SJK
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
22.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
3
L
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
H2H away: AC Oulu
28.03.26
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
W
07.02.26
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
6
W
14.09.25
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
W
18.06.25
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
1
L
25.09.20
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
0
L
15.02.20
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
W
24.07.19
H2H
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
4
3
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 7 1 34:17 17 40
D W W W W
2 19 9 8 2 25:14 11 35
D W L D W
3 19 9 4 6 29:23 6 31
W L W W L
4 20 8 6 6 28:21 7 30
L W L L L
5 19 9 3 7 22:22 0 30
L W D L L
6 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
D L W W W
7 20 8 5 7 27:22 5 29
W D W L L
8 19 7 5 7 22:16 6 26
D W L W W
9 19 7 4 8 31:31 0 25
W L W W L
10 20 4 6 10 24:31 -7 18
L D W L L
11 19 3 6 10 18:38 -20 15
L L W D W
12 20 1 5 14 11:41 -30 8
W L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)