BRAZIL › SERIE D
17.05.2026 20:00
Estadio Presidente Vargas
Ferroviario
Match Timeline
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
55'
Tiago Santana
Ferroviario
⚽
68'
Ciel
Ferroviario
🟥
84'
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
Uniclinic Atletico Clube

Ferroviario vs Uniclinic Atletico Clube Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ferroviario Win 59.7%
Draw 5.5%
Uniclinic Atletico Clube Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferroviario1.23
Uniclinic Atletico Clube0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferroviario Ferroviario
WWDLW
9 GF / 6 GA
Uniclinic Atletico Clube Uniclinic Atletico Clube
WLDWL
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
4
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferroviario Ferroviario 6 matches
Uniclinic Atletico Clube Uniclinic Atletico Clube 6 matches
Ferroviario Statistic Uniclinic Atletico Clube
3 Wins 1
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 1
9 Goals For 4
6 Goals Against 5
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ferroviario's more proactive style and Uniclinic Atletico Clube's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Uniclinic Atletico Clube. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Uniclinic Atletico Clube having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ferroviario arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 11 points compared to Uniclinic Atletico Clube in 4 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Ferroviario Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 11 points from 6 games, Ferroviario bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 8:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Ciel (2 goals), Lucas Black (2 goals), Thalisson (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Uniclinic Atletico Clube Analysis

Uniclinic Atletico Clube come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 4:5 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Carlos Gabriel (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ferroviario won 9 times, Uniclinic Atletico Clube won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from Ferroviario's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Ferroviario wins 9, draws 3, Uniclinic Atletico Clube wins 3

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)