BRAZIL SERIE D
23.05.2026 20:00
Estadio Presidente Vargas
Ferroviario
Match Timeline
Altos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Ciel
Ferroviario
42'
Y. Mena
Ferroviario
48'
Robinho
Altos
54'
Carlinhos
Ferroviario

Ferroviario vs Altos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ferroviario Win 65.8%
Draw 4.5%
Altos Win 29.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferroviario1.46
Altos0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferroviario Ferroviario
WWDLW
11 GF / 6 GA
Altos Altos
WLDWL
4 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
0.57
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
4
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferroviario Ferroviario 7 matches
Altos Altos 7 matches
Ferroviario Statistic Altos
4 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 4
11 Goals For 4
6 Goals Against 9
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
4 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Ferroviario's more proactive style and Altos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ferroviario arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 14 points compared to Altos in 5 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Altos having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Altos. Altos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Ferroviario Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 14 points from 7 games, Ferroviario bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 11:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Ciel (4 goals), Luisinho (3 goals), Lucas Black (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Altos Analysis

Altos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 7 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:9 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Betinho (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Ferroviario won 4 times, Altos won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Ferroviario's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
H2H summary: Ferroviario wins 4, draws 2, Altos wins 2

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4
Altos Away
10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)